In: Finance
Estimating Share Value Using the DCF
Model
Following are forecasts of Target Corporation's sales, net
operating profit after tax (NOPAT), and net operating assets (NOA)
as of January 30, 2016
Reported | Horizon Period | Terminal | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$ millions | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Period |
Sales | $77,118 | $78,660 | $80,233 | $81,838 | $83,475 | $84,310 |
NOPAT | 3,470 | 3,540 | 3,610 | 3,683 | 3,756 | 3,794 |
NOA | 23,135 | 23,598 | 24,070 | 24,551 | 25,043 | 25,293 |
Answer the following requirements assuming a terminal period growth
rate of 1%, a discount rate (WACC) of 6%, common shares outstanding
of 602 million, and net nonoperating obligations (NNO) of $8,488
million.
a. Estimate the value of a share of Target common stock using the
discounted cash flow (DCF) model as of January 30, 2016.
Instructions:
Round all answers to the nearest whole number, except for discount factors and stock price per share.
Reported | Forecast Horizon | Terminal | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
($ millions) | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | Period | |
Increase in NOA | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
FCFF (NOPAT - Increase in NOA) | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | ||
Discount factor [1/(1+rw)t] | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |||
Present value of horizon FCFF | Answer | Answer | Answer | Answer | |||
Cum. present value of horizon FCFF | Answer | ||||||
Present value of terminal FCFF | Answer | ||||||
Total firm value | Answer | ||||||
NNO | Answer | ||||||
Firm equity value | Answer | ||||||
Shares outstanding (millions) | Answer | ||||||
Stock price per share | Answer |