In: Statistics and Probability
We have consumption (Y) of ten people and their savings(X) data is given below. estimate the regression model (?̂? = ? − ??? ) for the variables by using normal equations and showing all the calculation steps clearly in the.. Ms World file.. Also interpret the coefficients
X Y
13 39
17 51
19 57
22 66
21.6 64.8
22.4 67.2
18 54
20.8 62.4
22 66
24.2 72.6
Here the given data is
X | Y | |
13 | 39 | |
17 | 51 | |
19 | 57 | |
22 | 66 | |
21.6 | 64.8 | |
22.4 | 67.2 | |
18 | 54 | |
20.8 | 62.4 | |
22 | 66 | |
24.2 | 72.6 | |
Sum | 200 | 600 |
Average | 20 | 60 |
Obtaining the equation
From the given data obtaining the means
= 200 / 10
= 20
= 600 / 10
= 60
Calculating the , and
X | Y | ||||||
13 | 39 | -7 | -21 | 147 | 49 | 441 | |
17 | 51 | -3 | -9 | 27 | 9 | 81 | |
19 | 57 | -1 | -3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | |
22 | 66 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 36 | |
21.6 | 64.8 | 1.6 | 4.8 | 7.68 | 2.56 | 23.04 | |
22.4 | 67.2 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 17.28 | 5.76 | 51.84 | |
18 | 54 | -2 | -6 | 12 | 4 | 36 | |
20.8 | 62.4 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.92 | 0.64 | 5.76 | |
22 | 66 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 36 | |
24.2 | 72.6 | 4.2 | 12.6 | 52.92 | 17.64 | 158.76 | |
Sum | 200 | 600 | 0 | 292.8 | 97.6 | 878.4 |
Therefore the = 97.6 , = 878.4 and = 292.8
Obtaining the coefficients
= 3
Now obtaining 'a'
= 60 - 3* 20
= 0
The regression equation is
Substituting the values
Y = 0 + 3 X
Consumption = 0+ 3 *savings
Interpretation
Since the is zero ,the regression line passes through origin .i.e the expected value of consumption (Y) is zero if all savings(X) are zero.
Since b = 3 , it is positive , hence there is positive correlation between consumption (Y) and savings(X) . i.e for every additional unit in savings(X) there is 3 unit increase in consumption (Y).(and vice -versa)