In: Finance
(a) Compare the similarities and differences in terms of the structure and independence of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) and the Federal Reserve System.
(b) What are the main problems with having a central bank that is not independent of the rest of the government?
(c) The trading desk at the Federal Reserve sold $100,000,000 in T-bills to the public. If the current reserve requirement is 8.0%, how much could the money supply change?
(d) Consider a bank policy to maintain 24% of deposits as reserves. The bank currently has $20 million in deposits and holds $800,000 in excess reserves. What is the required reserve on a new deposit of $100,000?
d) The bank's policy is to maintain 24% of deposits as total reserves.
Thus, from the above given problem, we have, Reserve ratio = 24% = 0.24
Therefore, Required reserve ratio + excess reserve ratio = 0.24
Amt. of deposits = $20,000,000, Excess Reserves = $800,000
Therefore, Excess reserve ratio = $ (800,000/20,000,000) = 0.04
We know, Required reserve ratio + Excess reserve ratio = 0.24
Therefore, Required reserve ratio + 0.04 = 0.24
or, Required Reserve Ratio = 0.20
Thus, the Required Reserve on a new deposit of $100,000 is :- $(100,000 × 0.20) = $20,000.
c) Reserve requirements are the amount of cash that banks must have, in their vaults or at the closest Federal Reserve bank, in line with deposits made by their customers. Set by the Fed's board of governors, reserve requirements are one of the three main tools of monetary policy, the other two tools are open market operations and the discount rate.
The money multiplier tells us the maximum
amount the money supply could
increase based on an increase in reserves within the banking
system.
Therefore, the formula for the money
multiplier is simply:-
where r = the reserve ratio.
Since, in the above given problem, the reserve requirement is 8% or, 0.08.
Therefore , the potential money multiplier as per the aforesaid formula is:- 1/0.08 = 12.5
We know, the purchase of T - bills increases the money supply,
whereas, the sale of T - bills decreases the money supply.
Open market operations is the sale and purchase of
government securities and treasury bills by the central bank of the
country. The objective of OMO is to regulate the money supply in
the economy.
When the Federal reserve bank wants to increase the money supply in
the economy, it purchases the government securities (T-
Bills) from the market and it sells government
securities (or, T-Bills) to suck out liquidity from the
system.
OMO is one of the tools that the Fed uses to smoothen the liquidity
conditions through the year and minimise its impact on the interest
rate and inflation rate levels.
Hence, the contraction of money supply will be in the
order of $(100,000,000 * 12.5) = $1,250,000,000.
However, if there are excess reserves in the system, it may not be
that high.
b) A central bank, or reserve bank is an institution that manages the currency, money supply, and interest rates of a state or formal monetary union, and oversees their commercial banking system. A central bank possesses a monopoly on increasing the monetary base in the state, and also generally controls the printing of the national currency. Central banks in most developed nations are institutionally independent from political interference.However,some limited control by the executive and legislative bodies exists.
Ever since the 1970’s, central banks all over the world had been
asking for financial independence. The OPEC shocks of the 1960’s
and 1970’s had exposed the weakness of the central banks. All
throughout, the 1960’s and 1970’s, inflation was running at double
digits in Europe. Central banks needed greater autonomy at that
time, to fix the problem. They were then given this autonomy,
considering the prevailing situation. As a result, almost all the
central banks in the world are free from political influence. The
aim of independence is primarily to prevent short-term
interference.However, this policy has its pros and cons.
For example, the Bank of England had been controlled by the
government to a large extent until the year 1997. After 300 hundred
years of its existence, the Bank of England was finally able to
become an independent body in 1997.
Advantages of having a Central Bank independent of the government are as follows :-
Political Cycle vs. Business Cycle: Since, the
political system of any country & its politicians are mainly
driven by the motive of staying in power, they become extremely
generous and accommodating during the pre-election times. This over
interference by the political parties may lead to economic cycles
(booms & busts).
The business,on the other hand, operates based on business cycles.
It is not necessary that periods of boom and bust will coincide
with the political cycles. Also, if they do, politicians may have a
conflict of interest. For instance, if there is too much inflation
during an election year, politicians might simply skip the
necessary but unpopular decision of implementing rate hikes. Hence,
it is likely that the politicians will end up jeopardizing the
entire economy for political gains. This is the reason why central
banks need to be independent. They can take tough decisions
regardless of the election cycle. The economy and elections are not
naturally correlated. Hence, it is imperative that the decisions
regarding the economy be taken independently.
Independence from government and the political process is obviously
helpful when the main enemy is high inflation, as it enhances a
central bank’s credibility and helps monetary policy makers do
tough things without political interference.
The main rationale for making central banks independent was
to enhance the credibility of inflation-targeting monetary policy,
which became the standard approach to monetary policy after the
demise of the gold standard and the ensuing Great Inflation of the
1970s and early 1980s. High and volatile inflation had become the
economy’s main enemy at that time, and the solution was to focus
monetary policy exclusively on stabilizing inflation at low levels,
with independence of Central banks making that task easier to
achieve.
Inflation:- Controlling inflation is the primary objective of any central bank. In order to do so, they need to control the money spent by the government. If decisions regarding the economy can be taken by the government, they will take only populist decisions. For instance, governments may decide to provide free health care and retirement benefits even though they don’t have the enough finances at that moment to implement such decisions. The bottom line is that if the government is given control of the economy, they might resort to indiscriminate money printing which will ultimately lead to economic collapse. This is what has happened in many ancient civilizations including Rome. Hence, to prevent this, central banks have been made independent of government authority.
Deficit Spending: Governments inorder to pursue its populist agenda may take up such projects that are not supported by economic fundamentals. Lets, take the example of the case of sports stadiums built for the Olympics in Greece and for FIFA World Cup in Brazil. In both cases, the government should not have indulged in deficit spending, but it did. These instances would become more common if the government had full control over the monetary policy. Hence, it is important to keep the monetary policy separate from the government in order to maintain the financial health of the state.
International organizations such as the World Bank, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) strongly support central bank independence. The support for independence from the international organizations also derives partly from their belief that the independence of the central banks will lead to increased transparency in the policy-making process. An independent central bank will always score higher in the review of the international monetory organisations than one that is not independent.
a)