In: Finance
Covan, Inc. is expected to have the following free cash flow:
Year |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
times times times••• |
FCF |
1010 |
1212 |
1313 |
1414 |
Grow by
3 %3% per year |
a. Covan has
88
million shares outstanding,
$44
million in excess cash, and it has no debt. If its cost of capital is
11 %11%,
what should be its stock price?
b. Covan adds its FCF to cash, and has no plans to add debt. If you plan to sell Covan at the beginning of year 2, what is its expected price?
c. Assume you bought Covan stock at the beginning of year 1. What is your expected return from holding Covan stock until year 2?
a. Covan has
88
million shares outstanding,
$44
million in excess cash, and it has no debt. If its cost of capital is
11 %11%,
what should be its stock price?The stock price should be
$nothing.
Solution:
a)Calculation of value of firm
Value of firm=Present value of cash flow+Present value of terminal value
Terminal value at the end of year 4=14/(0.11-0.03)=175.00
Present value of cash flows and terminal value using cost of capital of 11% as discounting rate
=10/(1+0.11)^1+12/(1+0.11)^2+13/(1+0.11)^3+14/(1+0.11)^4+175/(1+0.11)^4
=9+9.74+9.51+9.22+115.28
=152.75
Stock price=Value of firm+Cash-debt/No. of shares
=($152.75+$4-0)million/8 million
=$19.59
b)Value of firm at the begining of year 2
Thus we have to calculate the present value of cash flows from year end 2 and present value of terminal value
Value of firm=12/(1+0.11)+13/(1+0.11)^2+14/(1+0.11)^3+175/(1+0.11)^3
=10.81+10.55+10.24+127.96
=$159.56 million
Share price at the begining of year 2=($159.56 million+$4 million)/8 million
=$20.45
c)Expected return=Share price at the begining of year 2-share price at the begining of year1
=$20.45-$19.59
=$0.86