In: Finance
Consider the situation where the “Zeus” stock price 3 months
from the expiration
of an option is $32, the exercise price of the option is $30, the
risk-free rate is 6%
per annum, and the volatility is 25% per annum.
a. Calculate the price of the European Call and European Put
respectively.
b. If the quoted price of the call is $2.75, can you argue that the
call is
undervalued?
c. If the quoted price of the put is $1.98, can you argue that the
put is
overvalued?
d. Show by the means of well-drawn diagrams that “Option-Pricing”
is a
ZERO-SUM game. Explain your answers analytically.
a) From the Black Scholes Model, Value of Call option (C) is given by
C=S*N(d1)-K*e^(-r*t) * N(d2)
where S is the current stock price =$32
K is the strike price = $30
r is the risk free rate = 6%=0.06
t is the time till maturity in years = 3/12 = 0.25 and
d1= ( ln(S/K) + (r + s^2/2) *t ) / (s*t^0.5)
where s is the standard deviation or volatility = 0.25
and d2 = ( ln(S/K) + (rd- s^2/2) *t ) / (s*t^0.5)
Putting the values , we get , d1 = 0.6988 and N(d1) = area under normal distribution upto d1 =0.757664
and d2 = 0.5738 and N(d2) = 0.7169512
So, C = $3.0569 or $3.06
Now using put call parity equation
p = C+Ke^(-rt) -S = $0.6103 or $0.61
b) If the quoted price of call option is $2.75, the call option is undervalued as the theoretical price should be $3.06
c) If the quoted price of put option is $1.98, the put option is overvalued as the theoretical price should be $0.61
d) Payoff of a call option buyer is given by = max(St-K,0) where St is the stock price at maturity and K is the strike price. & profit is given by Profit = max(St-K,0) - C where C is the call option premium
The Payoff and profit of the seller of the call option are exactly opposite
Profit = C -max(St-K, 0)
Using the above option values C = $3.06, K = $30 and various possible values of St, the payoff of Seller and Buyer are as shown in the table and graph below
St | Profit of Seller | Profit of Buyer | Total Profit of Buyer and Seller |
25 | 3.06 | -3.06 | 0 |
26 | 3.06 | -3.06 | 0 |
27 | 3.06 | -3.06 | 0 |
28 | 3.06 | -3.06 | 0 |
29 | 3.06 | -3.06 | 0 |
30 | 3.06 | -3.06 | 0 |
31 | 2.06 | -2.06 | 0 |
32 | 1.06 | -1.06 | 0 |
33 | 0.06 | -0.06 | 0 |
34 | -0.94 | 0.94 | 0 |
35 | -1.94 | 1.94 | 0 |
It can be seen clearly that the call option buyer and Seller has exactly negative profits. Sum of profits is 0. So the Call option pricing is a zero sum game,
Similarly the put option pricing is also a zero sum game.
Profit for buyer of put option at expiration = max(K-St,0) -P
The Payoff and profit of the seller of the put option are exactly opposite
Profit = P -max(K-St, 0)
Using the above option values C = $3.06, K = $30 and various possible values of St, the payoff of Seller and Buyer are as shown in the table and graph below
St | Profit of Seller | Profit of Buyer | Total Profit of Buyer and Seller |
25 | -4.39 | 4.39 | 0 |
26 | -3.39 | 3.39 | 0 |
27 | -2.39 | 2.39 | 0 |
28 | -1.39 | 1.39 | 0 |
29 | -0.39 | 0.39 | 0 |
30 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 0 |
31 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 0 |
32 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 0 |
33 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 0 |
34 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 0 |
35 | 0.61 | -0.61 | 0 |
It can be seen clearly that the put option buyer and Seller has exactly negative profits. Sum of profits is 0. So the Put option pricing is a zero sum game,