In: Economics
3 queastion:
1.the economics of prohibition depends upon the microeconomic theories of behavior
2.price elasticity of demand with regard to addictive consumption
3.standard economic theory, discuss the monopoly and other models that explain the supply of illicit drugs
1. Prohibition is based on microeconomic policies because like
microeconomics prohibition also deals with every day concepts.
Prohibition has an ever-increasing impact on our daily life. In the
United States, prohibition against certain drugs, involving "wars"
on them, has become one of our most visible and hotly debated
national problems. The purpose of the following investigation is to
improve our understanding of the origins and results of
prohibition, and therefore indirectly to contribute to future
policy-making, shifting it toward rationality.
At the core of this book, one of the first theoretical
investigations of prohibition, is an economic theory of
prohibition, which defines
prohibition as a government decree against the exchange of a good
or service. Recent studies of decrees against cocaine, heroin, and
mari-
juana suggest that these prohibitions impose heavy costs and are
extremely difficult to enforce. Beyond such costs and
enforcement
difficulties, however, I argue that effective prohibition is
impossible to achieve, because the unintended consequences of
prohibition itself preclude any benefits.
2. Price elasticity of demand for illicit drugs is the
percentage change in demand for illicit drugs per percentage change
in price of illicit drugs. There are few direct empirical studies
on the price elasticity of demand for cocaine, marijuana, heroin,
and other illicit drugs. Nisbet and Vakil (1972) provided an early
estimate of price elasticity of demand for marijuana. Their data on
both the quantity purchased monthly and the purchasing price were
from an anonymous mail survey of UCLA students.
Conditional on purchasing, their estimate was in the range from
-0.37 to -1.5 1, depending on
whether the regression’s functional form was double-log or
linear.
Several authors have estimated price elasticities using national
survey data. Based on pooled data from the 1988,1990 and 1991 NHSDA
surveys and Drug Enforcement Administration’s STRIDE price data,
Saffer and Chaloupka (1995) found that the annual participation
price elasticities for
heroin and cocahe are -0.90 and -0.55, respectively, and monthly
participation price elasticities are -0.80 and -0.36, respectively.
Assuming that the use price elasticity conditional on participation
is about the same size as the participation price elasticity, they
claimed that heroin’s price elasticity is
about -1.80 to -1.60 and cocaine’s is about -1.10 to -0.72: Based
on data from the Monitoring the Future (MFT) surveys, Chaloupka,
Grossman, and Tam (1996) estimated both the participation price
elasticity and the use elasticity conditional on participation,
separately, using Cragg’s two-pat
regression models. Their results showed that for annual data, the
participation and use price
elasticities are -0.89 and -0.40, respectively; for monthly data,
they are -0.98 and -0.45,
respectively.
3.Reuter’s seminal work on drug supply (for example, Reuter,
Crawford and Cave, 1988) challenged the effectiveness of source
country and interdiction activities. This case has been reinforced
by Rydell and Everingham (1994). In brief, these arguments rest on
one key observation and one basic assumption. The observation is
that the costs of producing and transporting cocaine to the
United
States and across its borders is a small fraction of the retail
price of cocaine. The assumption is that the price markup from the
U.S. border to U.S. city streets is additive. That is, the retail
price PR is a linear function of the price at the border PB and a
markup: MI, so:
PR = PB + M1
Thus, even if source country and interdiction programs are
effective at (say) doubling the cost of cocaine at American
borders, the effect on street prices will be minimal because M1 is
large relative to e PB. Others (for example: Crane, Rivolo and
Comfort, 1997) have challenged this conclusion, finding to
the contrary, that source country programs have had a signifcant
effect on street prices for cocaine.
They argue that street prices are a multiple of prices at the
border. That is, the retail price is a
multiplicative function of the border price, so:
PR = PBM2
While they do not necessarily agree with Crane and his colleagues,
others (Caulkins and Padman, 1993; Rhodes, Hyatt and Scheiman,
1994; DeSimone, 1998) present evidence that is consistent with the
multiplicative model, thereby adding support to Crane’s
position.
Recent discussions at a National Research Council workshop (Manski,
Pepper and Thomas, 1999) seem to suggest that neither the Rydell
and Everingham nor the Crane, Rivolo and Comfort positions are
convincing. There is much to learn about the costs of producing,
transshipping and distributing illicit drugs. There exists a need
to better understand how drug prices are marked-up from the
border
to the street.
Researchers have made remarkable progress during the last decade at
developing price series for illicit drugs.
According to that latter paper, domestic price markups for cocaine and heroin appear to be additive at the lower distribution levels and multiplicative at the higher distribution levels. In effect, the retail price is a mixture of multiplicative and additive elements, best written as:
PR = PBM2 + M1 .