In: Finance
Given the following information, an investor expects the probability of making money is less than 75% if he buys the call option. Do you agree? Why? Assume the stock price follows a log normal distribution with an expected annual return of 5% and standard deviation of 60%.
Current USO price: $10.11
Call options price: $1.33
Strike price: 9.50.
Time to maturity: 4 months