In: Statistics and Probability
Comparisons of two population proportions when the hypothesized
difference is zero
Carry out a two-tailed test of the equality of banks’ share of the
car loan market in
1980 and 1995.
Population 1: 1980
n1 = 1000
x1 = 53
? 1 = 0.53
Population 2: 1985
n2 = 100
x2 = 43
? 2= 0.53
since for population 1:1980
you have written p1=0.53
I assume n1=100 and not 1000
and for population 2:1985
since the total are=100 and favourable are=43
so i assume that p2=0.43 and not 0.53
The solution is as follows:
Null and Alternative Hypotheses
The following null and alternative hypotheses need to be tested:
Ho:p1=p2
Ha:p1≠p2
This corresponds to a two-tailed test, for which a z-test for two population proportions needs to be conducted.
(2) Rejection Region
Based on the information provided, the significance level is α=0.05\alpha = 0.05α=0.05, and the critical value for a two-tailed test is zc=1.96
The rejection region for this two-tailed test is R={z:∣z∣>1.96}
(3)Test Statistics
For sample 1, we have that the sample size is N1=100, the number of favorable cases is X1=53, so then the sample proportion is
For sample 2, we have that the sample size is N2=100 the number of favorable cases is X2=43, so then the sample proportion is
The value of the pooled proportion is computed as
Also, the given significance level is α=0.05.
The z-statistic is computed as follows:
(4) Decision about the null hypothesis
Since it is observed that ∣z∣=1.415≤zc=1.96, it is then concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.
Using the P-value approach: The p-value is p=0.157, and since p=0.157≥0.05, it is concluded that the null hypothesis is not rejected.
(5) Conclusion
It is concluded that the null hypothesis Ho is not rejected. Therefore, there is not enough evidence to claim that the population proportion p1 is different than p2, at the 0.05 significance level.
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