In: Finance
Suppose that an investor with a five-year investment horizon is considering purchasing a seven-year 7% coupon bond selling at par. The investor expects that he can reinvest the coupon payments at an annual interest rate of 9.4% and that at the end of the investment horizon two-year bonds will be selling to offer a yield to maturity of 11.2%. What is the total return on this investment?
Extra information:
Draw the cashflows of the 7 year bond. Using Par Value of 100, investors pays 100 and receives 14 coupon payments and Par Value of 100 at the end of 7 years.
Part 1: As the investor has hold the bond for 5 years, he will have received 10 coupon payments. With an reinvestment rate of 9.4% (s.a. compounding), what is the coupons plus interest on coupons at the end of 5 years?
Part 2: At the end of year 5, what is the remaining life of the bond? With a yield to maturity of 11.2%, what is the value of the bond then?
Semi annual coupon = par value x annual coupon / 2 = 100 x 7% / 2 = 3.50
Cash flow timeline for a 7 year bond:
Year | Period | Cash flow |
0.50 | 1 | 3.50 |
1.00 | 2 | 3.50 |
1.50 | 3 | 3.50 |
2.00 | 4 | 3.50 |
2.50 | 5 | 3.50 |
3.00 | 6 | 3.50 |
3.50 | 7 | 3.50 |
4.00 | 8 | 3.50 |
4.50 | 9 | 3.50 |
5.00 | 10 | 3.50 |
5.50 | 11 | 3.50 |
6.00 | 12 | 3.50 |
6.50 | 13 | 3.50 |
7.00 | 14 | 103.50 |
Part (1)
the coupons plus interest on coupons at the end of 5 years = FV (Rate, Nper, PMT, PV) = FV (9.4%/2, 2 x 5, 3.50, 0) = 43.41
Part (2)
Remaining life of the bond = 7 - 5 = 2 years = 2 x 2 = 4 semi annual
the value of the bond then = - PV (Rate, Nper, PMT, FV) = - PV (11.2% / 2, 2 x 2, 3.5, 100) = 92.66
Hence, the total return = (total proceeds on maturity / initial investment)1/n - 1 = [(43.41 + 92.66) / 100]1/5 - 1
= 6.35%