In: Statistics and Probability
The lengths of a particular animal's pregnancies are approximately normally distributed, with mean = 280 days and standard deviation = 20 days.
(a) What proportion of pregnancies lasts more than 285 days?
(b) What proportion of pregnancies lasts between 245 and 295 days?
(c) What is the probability that a randomly selected pregnancy lasts no more than 255 days?
(d) The probability of a "very preterm" baby is ? This event would/would not be unusual because the probability is less/greater than 0.05?
*** A "very preterm" baby is one whose gestation period is less than 235 days. Are very preterm babies unusual?
Solution :
Given that,
mean = = 280
standard deviation = = 20
a ) P (x > 285 )
= 1 - P (x < 285 )
= 1 - P ( x - / ) < ( 285 - 280 / 20)
= 1 - P ( z < 5 / 20 )
= 1 - P ( z < 0.25)
Using z table
= 1 - 0.5987
= 0.4013
Probability = 0.4013
b ) P (245 < x < 295 )
P ( 245 - 280 / 20) < ( x - / ) < ( 295 - 280 / 20)
P ( - 35 / 20< z < 15 / 20 )
P (-1.75 < z < 0.75 )
P ( z < 0.75 ) - P ( z < -1.75 )
Using z table
= 0.7734 - 0.0401
= 0.7333
Probability = 0.7333
c ) P (x > 255 )
= 1 - P (x < 255 )
= 1 - P ( x - / ) < ( 255 - 280 / 20)
= 1 - P ( z <- 25 / 20 )
= 1 - P ( z < -1.25 )
Using z table
= 1 - 0.1056
= 0.8944
Probability = 0.8944
d ) P( x < 235 )
P ( x - / ) < ( 235- 280 / 20)
P ( z < -45 / 20 )
P ( z < -2.25)
=0.0122
Probability = 0.0122
This event unusual because the probability is less than 0.05
0.05 < 0..0122