In: Finance
Suppose you are a natural gas seller, selling physical natural gas in the spot market to a pipeline in Henry Hub (which is the same location as the delivery of the natural gas futures contracts). You hedge by locking in $3.50 per MMBtu with a futures contract. How will the hedge work, if by maturity day spot price of natural gas is ST?
The pipeline will pay you $3.50 per MMBtu |
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The pipeline will pay you St, and the futures exchange will pay you (3.50 - Ft), so hedge is not guaranteed to work |
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The pipeline will pay you ST, and the futures exchange will pay you (3.50 - ST) due to convergence property, so hedge is guaranteed to work |
The answer is
The pipeline will pay you ST, and the futures exchange will pay you (3.50 - ST) due to convergence property, so hedge is guaranteed to work
The spot rate in future and forward rate equals due to convergence policy
The pipeline will pay the Spot rate, which the difference between forward selling price and spot rate will be paid by the exchange and hence, the hedge will work
as effective rate received will be $3.50 per MMBtu