In: Statistics and Probability
A Pew Poll conducted in 2017 surveyed a random sample of 200 adult Americans and 75 of them said that they had seen a ghost. Find a 99% confidence interval for the percentage of all Americans who believe they have seen a ghost. Interpret your interval. Round to three decimal places.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 200
x = 75
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 75/200=0.375
1 - = 1- 0.375 =0.625
At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (((( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576* (((0.375*0.625) /200 )
E = 0.088
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.375-0.088< p <0.375+ 0.088
0.287< p < 0.463
The 99% confidence interval for the population proportion p is0.287, 0.463