In: Finance
Janet Ludlow’s firm requires all its analysts to use a two-stage dividend discount model (DDM) and the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to value stocks. Using the CAPM and DDM, Ludlow has valued QuickBrush Company at $63 per share. She now must value SmileWhite Corporation. a. Calculate the required rate of return for SmileWhite by using the information in the following table: Quick Brush SmileWhite Beta 1.35 1.15 Market price $45.00 $30.00 Intrinsic value $63.00 ? Notes: Risk-free rate 4.50% Expected market return 14.50% b. Ludlow estimates the following EPS and dividend growth rates for SmileWhite: First 3 years 12% per year Years thereafter 9% per year Estimate the intrinsic value of SmileWhite by using the table above, and the twostage DDM. Dividends per share in the most recent year were $1.72. c. Recommend QuickBrush or SmileWhite stock for purchase by comparing each company’s intrinsic value with its current market price. d. Describe one strength of the two-stage DDM in comparison with the constantgrowth DDM. Describe one weakness inherent in all DDMs.
a) | Required rate of return for SmileWhite per CAPM = 4.50%+1.15*(14.50%-4.50%) = | 16.00% | ||
b) | The intrinsic value of the stock of SmileWhite is the sum | |||
of the PV of the dividends for the next 3 years growing | ||||
at 12% and the PV of the continuing value of dividends | ||||
from year 4 to infinity, which grow at 9%. | ||||
Year | Dividends | PV at 16% | PV at 16% | |
0 | $ 1.72 | 1 | ||
1 | $ 1.93 | 0.86207 | $ 1.66 | |
2 | $ 2.16 | 0.74316 | $ 1.61 | |
3 | $ 2.42 | 0.64066 | $ 1.55 | |
PV of dividends t1 to t3 | $ 4.82 | |||
Continuing value of dividends = 2.42*1.09/(0.16-0.09) = | $ 37.68 | |||
PV of continuing value of dividends = 37.68*0.64066 = | $ 24.14 | |||
Intrinsic value of SmileWhite share | $ 28.96 | |||
c) | QuickBrush | SmileWhite | ||
Intrinsic value | $ 63.00 | $ 28.96 | ||
Market value | $ 45.00 | $ 40.00 | ||
QuickBrush is undervalued by the market and SmileWhite is over price by the market. | ||||
Hence, the undervalued stock is to be bought. | ||||
d) | The two stage model estimates the dividends more rationally by estimating the | |||
dividends of the immediately succeeding years and then assuming a constant growth | ||||
rate (a lower rate) after the period of high growth rate. | ||||
The weakness of all DDMs is that it assumes a perpetual growth rate into the future | ||||
which may not hold. |