In: Statistics and Probability
Life Insurance:
A life insurance company sells a $250,000 1-year term life policy to a 20-year-old male for $350. According to the National Vital Statistics Report, the probability that the male survives the year is 0.998734.
Please answer all questions and do not hand write your answers. Show your work or please leave the question for someone who can. Thank you
a)Compute the expected value.
b)Interpret the expected value of this policy to the insurance company.
a) Money made by the insurance company in case the person survives is equal to the premium = $350
and Money made by the insurance company in case the person does not survive is computed as: = $350 - $250,000
= $ -249650
Therefore the expected value of the insurance policy to the insurance company here is computed as:
= Probability that the person survives * Money made by the insurance company in case the person survives + Probability that the person does not survive * Money made by the insurance company in case the person does not survive
= 0.998734*350 - 249650*(1 - 0.998734)
= 349.5569 - 316.0569
= 33.5
Therefore the expected value of the insurance policy to the insurance company is $33.5