In: Accounting
Halliford Corporation expects to have earnings this coming year of
$2.772
per share. Halliford plans to retain all of its earnings for the next two years. Then, for the subsequent two years, the firm will retain
55%
of its earnings. It will retain
21%
of its earnings from that point onward. Each year, retained earnings will be invested in new projects with an expected return of
22.2%
per year. Any earnings that are not retained will be paid out as dividends. Assume Halliford's share count remains constant and all earnings growth comes from the investment of retained earnings. If Halliford's equity cost of capital is
9.9%,
what price would you estimate for Halliford stock?
The stock price will be
$
(Round to the nearest cent.)
Period |
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
EPS growth rate |
22.20% |
22.20% |
12.21% |
12.21% |
4.66% |
||
EPS |
2.772 |
3.387 |
4.139 |
4.645 |
5.212 |
5.455 |
|
Retention |
100% |
100% |
55% |
55% |
21% |
21% |
|
Dividend payout |
0% |
0% |
45% |
45% |
79% |
79% |
|
Dividend = dividend payout ratio * EPS |
0 |
0 |
1.863 |
2.090 |
4.117 |
4.309 |
|
Price at end of Year 5 |
82.25 |
||||||
Total return & value of share |
0 |
0 |
1.862722 |
2.090161 |
86.36743 |
||
PV factor @ 9.9% |
0.9099 |
0.8280 |
0.7534 |
0.6855 |
0.6238 |
||
Present value |
- |
- |
1.4033 |
1.4328 |
53.8718 |
Price of the stock at the end of Year 5
= P6/(Ke-g)
=Price at year 6/(cost of equity –growth rate)
= 4.309/(9.9%-4.66%)
= 4.309/5.24%
=82.25
Therefore Price of the stock at Period 0, at present = 1.4033 + 1.4328 + 53.8718 = $ 56.7079