In: Statistics and Probability
An insurance company checks police records on 556 accidents selected at random and notes that teenagers were at the wheel in 82 of them. Complete parts a) through d)
a) Construct the 95% confidence interval for the percentage of all auto accidents that involve teenage drivers. (Round to one decimal place as needed.)
b) Explain what your interval means.
c) Explain what "95% confidence" means.
d) A politician urging tighter restrictions on drivers' licenses issued to teens says, "In one of every five auto accidents, a teenager is behind the wheel." Does the confidence interval support or contradict this statement?
a)
Standard error of the mean = SEM = √x(N-x)/N3 = 0.015
α = (1-CL)/2 = 0.025
Standard normal deviate for α = Zα = 1.960
Proportion of positive results = P = x/N = 0.147
Lower bound = P - (Zα*SEM) = 0.1
Upper bound = P + (Zα*SEM) = 0.2
b) Teenage proportion of accidents lie between 0.1 and 0.2
c) If we repeat the experiment, 95% times we will find that Teenage proportion of accidents lie between 0.1 and 0.2
d) Contradict as 20% is outside our interval