In: Statistics and Probability
The Insure.com website reports that the mean annual premium for automobile insurance in the United States was $1,503 in March 2014. Being from Pennsylvania at that time, you believed automobile insurance was cheaper there and decided to develop statistical support for your opinion. A sample of 25 automobile insurance policies from the state of Pennsylvania showed a mean annual premium of $1,425 with a standard deviation of
s = $160.
(a)
Develop a hypothesis test that can be used to determine whether the mean annual premium in Pennsylvania is lower than the national mean annual premium.
H0: μ ≤ 1,503
Ha: μ > 1,503
H0: μ > 1,503
Ha: μ ≤ 1,503
H0: μ < 1,503
Ha: μ ≥ 1,503
H0: μ ≥ 1,503
Ha: μ < 1,503
H0: μ = 1,503
Ha: μ ≠ 1,503
(b)
What is a point estimate in dollars of the difference between the mean annual premium in Pennsylvania and the national mean? (Use the mean annual premium in Pennsylvania minus the national mean.)
$
(c)
At
α = 0.05,
test for a significant difference.
Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)
Find the p-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
p-value =
State your conclusion.
Reject H0. We cannot conclude that the population mean automobile premium in Pennsylvania is lower than the national mean.Do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that the population mean automobile premium in Pennsylvania is lower than the national mean. Reject H0. We can conclude that the population mean automobile premium in Pennsylvania is lower than the national mean.Do not reject H0. We can conclude that the population mean automobile premium in Pennsylvania is lower than the national mean.
Solution:
a)
H0: μ ≥ 1,503
Ha: μ < 1,503
b)
Sample mean is the point estimate of the population mean.
So , required point estimate is
$ 1425
c)
The test statistics t is given by ..
t =
= (1425 - 1503)/(160/25)
= -2.438
Test statistic t = -2.428
Now ,
df = n - 1 = 25 - 1 = 24
Left tailed test(One tailed left sided)
So ,
p value = 0.0115
p value is less than α = 0.05
Reject H0. We can conclude that the population mean automobile premium in Pennsylvania is lower than the national mean.