In: Statistics and Probability
CNNBC recently reported that the mean annual cost of auto
insurance is 978 dollars. Assume the standard deviation is 299
dollars. You take a simple random sample of 92 auto insurance
policies.
Find the probability that a single randomly selected value is less
than 988 dollars.
P(X < 988) = ___________
Find the probability that a sample of size n=92n=92 is randomly
selected with a mean less than 988 dollars.
P(M < 988) = ____________
a)
Given,
= 978 , = 299
We convert this to standard normal as
P(X < x) = P(Z < ( x - ) / )
So,
P(X < 988) = P(Z < (988 - 978) / 299)
= P(Z < 0.03)
= 0.5120
b)
Using central limit theorem,
P( < x) = P(Z < ( x - ) / ( / sqrt(n) ) )
So,
P( < 988) = P(Z < ( 988 -978) / (299 / sqrt(92) ) )
= P(Z < 0.32)
= 0.6255