No, it is not possible for the OPEC countries to lower price to
$10 a barrel and drive all non-OPEC competitors including the
fracking industry out of business. The reasons are:
- Producing oil takes a certain amount of fixed cost and variable
cost the OPEC countries can't come down to the level where they are
losing their variable cost too. At the point where they have
touched their shutdown point, they will stop production or at least
can't continue producing at that level for a long time. If they did
it will erode their resource base.
- Many OPEC companies function on the revenue earned by the oil.
If the prices are low their economies will stop functioning and
they will face bankruptcy. The recent example of this is Venezuela
which is close to bankruptcy because of low oil prices.
- Sooner or later the OPEC nations will start feeling the pinch
of the low oil prices and they have to increase the price of the
oil or it will start affecting other big OPEC members like Saudi
Arabia and Others.