In: Statistics and Probability
The U.S. Census Bureau announced that the mean sales price of new houses sold in 2016 was $370,800. Suppose the sales price follows a normal distribution with a standard deviation of $90,000.
a. (5 points) If you select samples of n = 4, what is the standard error of the mean?
b. (5 points) If you select samples of n = 100, what is the standard error of the mean?
c. (5 points) If you select a random sample of n = 100, what is the probability that the sample mean will be less than $370,000?
d. (5 points) If you select a random sample of n = 100, what is the probability that that sample mean will be between $350,000 and $365,000?
e. (5 points) The U.S. Census Bureau announced that the median sales price of new houses sold in 2016 was $316,500. Can we still assume that the sales price follows a normal distribution? How will this change the shape of the sampling distribution of n = 4 and n = 100?
Solution:
We are given
Mean = µ = 370800
SD = σ = 90000
Part a
We are given n=4
Standard error = σ/sqrt(n) = 90000/sqrt(4) = 45000
Part b
We are given n=100
Standard error = σ/sqrt(n) = 90000/sqrt(100) = 9000
Part c
We have to find P(Xbar<370000)
Z = (Xbar - µ)/[σ/sqrt(n)]
Z = (370000 - 370800)/( 90000/sqrt(100))
Z = -0.088888889
P(Z<-0.088888889) = 0.464585107 (by using z-table)
P(Xbar<370000) = 0.464585107
Required probability = 0.464585107
Part d
We have to find P(350000<Xbar<365000)
P(350000<Xbar<365000) = P(Xbar<365000) – P(Xbar<350000)
Find P(Xbar<365000)
Z = (365000 - 370800)/( 90000/sqrt(100))
Z = -0.64444
P(Z<-0.64444) = P(Xbar<365000) = 0.259644
(by using z-table or excel)
Find P(Xbar<350000)
Z = (350000 - 370800)/( 90000/sqrt(100))
Z = -2.31111
P(Z<-2.31111) = P(Xbar<350000) = 0.010413 (by using z-table or excel)
P(350000<Xbar<365000) = P(Xbar<365000) – P(Xbar<350000)
P(350000<Xbar<365000) = 0.259644 - 0.010413
P(350000<Xbar<365000) = 0.249231
Required probability = 0.249231
Part e
We still cannot assume that the sales price follows a normal distribution because the median value and mean value should be approximately equal or same. For the sampling distribution with n=4, distribution becomes skewed. For n=100 distribution will approach to normal distribution.