In: Statistics and Probability
.8.4. For each of the following phrases write down the probability numberthat you feel is represented by the phrase. After doing so, check youranswers to be sure they are consistent. (For example, is your answerto e less than your answer to j?)
a.“There is a better than even chance that...”b.“A possibility exists that...”c.“...has a high likelihood of occurring.”d.“The probability is very high that...”e.“It is very unlikely that...”f.“There is a slight chance...”g.“The chances are better than even...”h.“There is no probability, no serious probability, that...”i.“...is probable.”j.“...is unlikely.”k.“There is a good chance that...”l.“...is quite unlikely.”m.“...is improbable.”n.“...has a high probability.”
a. There is a better than even chance that... 0.55
b. A possibility exists that... 0.10
c.... has a high likelihood of occurring.” 0.90
d. The probability is very high that... 0.95
e. It is very unlikely that.. 0.05
f.“ There is a slight chance...” 0.005
”g.“ The chances are better than even.. 0.55
h.“ There is no probability, no serious probability, that... 0.00001
i.“.. .is probable 0.5
j.“.. .is unlikely.” 0.01
”k.“ There is a good chance that... 0.8
.l“... is quite unlikely 0.0005
m.“... is improbable 0.0
”n.“... has a high probability.” 0.9