In: Finance
Current spot exchange rates (2020) | ||||||
EUR/USA | CNY/USA | JPY/USA | ||||
1.1848 | 0.1463 | 0.9418 | ||||
Current interest rate (2020) | ||||||
EUR | CNY | JPY | USA | |||
0% | 3.85% | -0.10% | 0.26% | |||
Inflation rate forecasts (2020) | ||||||
EUR | CNY | JPY | USA | |||
0.27% | 3% | 0.80% | 2.36% |
IFE: 1 year forecast | ||||||
EUR/USA | CNY/USA | JPY/USA | ||||
Exchange Rate | ||||||
PPP: 1 year forecast | ||||||
EUR/USA | CNY/USA | JPY/USA | ||||
Growth rate | ||||||
Growth + 1 | ||||||
Exchange rate | ||||||
1 year forward rate | ||||||
EUR/USA | CNY/USA | JPY/USA | ||||
Bid | ||||||
Ask | ||||||
Mid point | ||||||
Expected change in the USA value | ||||||
EUR/USA | CNY/USA | JPY/USA | ||||
IFE | ||||||
PPP | ||||||
Forward rate |
ANS a PART ; CURRENT SPOT EXCHANGE RATE =TO Calculate the forwaed rate , multiply the spot rate by the ratio of interest rates .forward rate is equal to the spot rate multiply (1+foreign interest rate )/(1+domestic interst rate ).
b PART ; CURRENT INTEREST RATE ;Europen union 's exchange rate against USD averged 0.87 in july 2020.
c PART ;INFLATION RATE FORECAST ; It is the difference between the spot interest rate and the interest rate for the forward.
SECOND PART
If the current U.S DOLLAR deposit rate is 1% for spot and 1.5% in one year's time.
d PART; IFE 1 YEAR FORECAST ;The economic projections is seen to be contracting 8% in 2020 a slight improvement from its june forecast of an 8.7% plunge.
e PART ; EXCHANGE RATE ;The U.S are predicted to go up by 4% over the next year and thhe prices rises by 2%.
then,the inflation differential between America and Australia is
4% -2%=2%
PART SECOND
Therefore,the PPP approach would predict that the U.S Dollar willdepricate by about 2% to balance the price in these two countries.
(1+0.02) multiply (Us $0.90 per AUS $ 1)=US $0.918 per AUS $1.
f PART ; GROWTH RATE ; FOR EXAMPLE, if the current U.S Dollar deposit rate is 1 % for spot and 1.5% in one year's time ,the growth is the difference of 0.5%.
g PART BID ASK MID POINT ;Spreads on U.S stocks have narrowed .stocks were quoted in fractions of 1/16 of a dollar of 6.25 cents.
part second
Bid -ask spreads represent a cost not always apparent to novoice investors.a biggercost for active traders who make numerous trades daily.
h PART; IFE PPP FORWARD RATE ;The expected future spot rate is calculated by multiplying the spot rate by a ratio for the foreign interest rate to the domestic interest rate ;1.5339 multiply (1.05/1.07)=1.5052.