Question

In: Statistics and Probability

One of the large photocopiers used by a printing company has a number of special functions...

One of the large photocopiers used by a printing company has a number of special functions unique to that particular model. This photocopier generally performs well but, because of the complexity of its design and the frequency of usage, it occasionally breaks down. The department has kept records of the number of breakdowns per month over the last fifty months. The data is summarized in the table below:
  

Number of Breakdowns

Probability

0

0.12

1

0.32

2

0.24

3

0.20

4

0.08

5

0.04

  
The cost of a repair depends mainly on the time taken, the level of expertise required and the cost of any spare parts. There are four levels of repair. The cost per repair for each level and probabilities for different levels of repair are shown in table below:

  

Repair Category

Repair Cost

Probability

1

$35

0.50

2

$75

0.30

3

$150

0.16

4

$350

0.04


Based on the probabilities given in the two tables and using the random number streams given below, simulate for each of 12 consecutive months the number of breakdowns and the repair cost of each breakdown. Note that for each month you must compute both the number of breakdowns, the repair cost for each breakdown (if any) and the total monthly repair cost as well as the total annual repair cost to answer the following questions.

  
Use the following random numbers in order (from left to right) for the simulation of number of breakdowns per month:

  

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

0.13

0.21

0.08

0.09

0.89

0.26

0.65

0.28

0.97

0.24

0.10

0.90


  
Use the following random numbers in order (from left to right, first row first - as you need them) for the simulation of repair cost for each breakdown.

  

0.19

0.39

0.07

0.42

0.65

0.61

0.85

0.40

0.75

0.73

0.16

0.64

0.38

0.05

0.91

0.97

0.24

0.01

0.27

0.69

0.18

0.06

0.53

0.97


What was the total monthly repair cost in May?

A.

$220

B.

$35

C.

$300

D.

$75

E.

$140

Solutions

Expert Solution

Answer:-

Given That:-

One of the large photocopiers used by a printing company has a number of special functions unique to that particular model. This photocopier generally performs well but, because of the complexity of its design and the frequency of usage, it occasionally breaks down. The department has kept records of the number of breakdowns per month over the last fifty months.

Given,

Random numbers assigned in number of breakdown.

No. of Breakdown Probability Cumulative Probability Random Numbers
0 0.12 0.12 0.00-0.11
1 0.32 0.44 0.12-0.43
2 0.24 0.68 0.44-0.67
3 0.20 0.88 0.68-0.87
4 0.08 0.96 0.88-0.95
5 0.04 1.00 0.93-0.99

Simulation of number of breakdown per month:-

Month Random Numbers No. of breakdown
Jan 0.13 1
Feb 0.21 1
Mar 0.08 0
Apr 0.09 0
May 0.89 4
Jun 0.26 1
Jul 0.65 2
Aug 0.28 1
Sep 0.97 5
Oct 0.24 1
Nov 0.10 0
Dec 0.90 4

Random Numbers assigned in cost per Repairs

Repair category Repair Cost($) Probability Cumulative Probability Random Numbers
1 35 0.50 0.50 0.00-0.49
2 75 0.30 0.80 0.50-0.79
3 150 0.16 0.96 0.80-0.95
4 350 0.04 1.00 0.96-0.99

simulation of monthly repair cost for each breakdown.

Month No. of breakdown Random Number Repair Cost per breakdown Total Repair cost
Jan 1 0.19 $35 $35
Feb 1 0.39 $35 $35
Mar 0 0.07 $35 0
Apr 0 0.42 $35 0
May 4 0.65 $75 $300
Jun 1 0.61 $75 $75
Jul 2 0.85 $150 $300
Aug 1 0.40 $35 $35
Sep 5 0.75 $75 $375
Oct 1 0.73 $75 $75
Nov 0 0.16 $75 0
Dec 4 0.64 $75 $300

Therefore The total monthly repair cost in May $ 300

The correct answer is option C.

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