In: Economics
Explain the short run and long run effects of debts and deficits based on i) the standard view and ii) the Ricardian view. Explain the conditions under which the latter view holds.
anssss...
When the governmnt introduces deficit in the economy reducing lump
sum taxes, it has severe impact on consumption, saving, investment
, and interest rate both in the short run and long run.
Deficit stands for expenditure outpacing income. Normally deficit
ladened budget is inflationary. The government wants to mobilise
the resources from the rich to the poor for more employment and
income generation.
When taxes are reduced, the purchasing power of people shall rise
thereby boostig the aggregate demand in the economy. This gives
rise in output and employment.
With the rise in income, the consumption level shall rise, but the
quantum of rise will not be equal to the growth in income. This
means some icome will go to saving. Since, the rise in income is
not fully replaced by the rise in consumption, there is a gap of
saving. If ths saving does not get converted into nvestment, there
is less effective demand. Here, Keynes calls for mobilisation of
saving into productive channels for equating the effective
supply.
(a) Thus the standard view of debt and lowering of lump sum taxes
is that with their rise in income, the people will save money in
the hope that in future if the tax rates are raised, they should be
able to cope up the situation. In the short run the people may
spend more money on consumption; but in the long run they would
like to maintain a balance by saving money from rise in
income.
(b) Ricardian view is that when government tries to stimulate the
economy by increasing debt finance goverment spending, demand
remains unchanged.
(c) Permanent Life Cycle theory of Consumption
Permanent Income Hypothesis is referred to Milton Friedman which
tells that in the long run the consumers would like to maximise
their utility or personal well being by balancing a lifetime stream
of earnings vis-vis pattern of consumption. This is very similr to
Ricardian Concept of Consumption.