In: Operations Management
What were the causes of the 2010-2012 sovereign debt crisis in the EU? What does this crisis tell us about the weakness of the euro? Do you think the euro will survive the sovereign debt crisis?
Answer-
Introduction
The European sovereign debt crisis is also referred to as the
Eurozone crisis. This is a crisis that has been in existence since
2008. It affected countries such as Greece, Portugal, Ireland,
Spain, and Cyprus. This crisis when these European countries faced
many challenges such as an increase in public debts, the collapse
of financial institutions, etc. During this crisis period, these
Eurozone countries faced many challenges in meeting their financial
obligations i.e. being unable to repay or refinance their
government debt.
Causes of the 2010-2012 sovereign debt crisis in the EU
Fiscal shortcomings
Countries within the Eurozone had unsustainable fiscal policies to
control currency within their specific economies. This resulted to
slow growth of the economy, for example, Greece spent many years
and failed to undertake its fiscal reforms which has resulted to
the slow growth of their economy.
Institutional weaknesses
Many countries within the Eurozone did not have sufficient tools to
enforce national budgetary policies by their institutions. This
resulted in a deficit in economic and fiscal integration that
supports currency union within the Eurozone.
Lack of effective economic policy
EU policymakers did not ensure that all the monetary instruments
were made available to address all the macroeconomic imbalances
within the zone. The inflow of cheap credit from outside the
European Union, made possible by the introduction of the Euro, and
the convergence of interest rates, led to an asset bubble in
vulnerable economies that the EU institutions could not
prevent.
What does this crisis tell us about the weaknesses of the
euro?
It shows that Euro is weakened by its depreciation against other
currencies outside the Eurozone that is stable for example the US
dollars. Depreciation of the Euro was as a result of currency
instability in the Eurozone, slow growth rate of the Eurozone
economy, poor monetary policies implemented, etc. that are
exhibited as a result of the sovereign debt crisis
Do you think the euro will survive the sovereign debt crisis?
No. Since countries within the Eurozone had poor or slow economic
growth, experienced instabilities in their pricing, had poor
monetary systems, etc. it will be difficult for Euro to survive the
debt crisis. This is because other currencies such as dollars are
stable and it is, therefore, likely to weaken the Euro by enhancing
surplus imports from the Eurozone countries and limiting exports by
these countries. This results in better performance of other
currencies than the euro thus weakening its value.