In: Finance
McGilla Golf has decided to sell a new line of golf clubs. The clubs will sell for $844 per set and have a variable cost of $427 per set. The company has spent $189951 for a marketing study that determined the company will sell 5446 sets per year for seven years. The marketing study also determined that the company will lose sales of 934 sets of its high-priced clubs. The high-priced clubs sell at $1023 and have variable costs of $707. The company will also increase sales of its cheap clubs by 1130 sets. The cheap clubs sell for $412 and have variable costs of $253 per set. The fixed costs each year will be $877567. The company has also spent $111774 on research and development for the new clubs. The plant and equipment required will cost $2858196 and will be depreciated on a straight-line basis. The new clubs will also require an increase in net working capital of $132915 that will be returned at the end of the project. The tax rate is 34 percent, and the cost of capital is 8 percent. What is the sensitivity of the NPV to changes in the price of the new clubs? [Hint: Think of this as, "How much will NPV change if I increase the price of the new clubs by $1?"] (Do not round intermediate calculations and round your final answer to the nearest dollar. Omit the "$" sign and commas in your response. For example, $12,345.6789 should be entered as 12346.)
First, we compute the NPV normally using the given data -
Initial Investment = Plant and Equipment cost + Net working capital required = $2,858,196 + $132,915 = $2,991,111
Marketing study and research and development costs are sunk costs, so they will not be considered while computing NPV.
Particulars | Amount ($) |
Contribution from new clubs [ ($844 - $427) x 5446 ] | 2,270,982 |
Less: Contribution lost on high priced clubs [ ($1023 - $707) x 934 ] | 295,144 |
Add: Contribution from cheap clubs [ ($412 - $253) x 1130 ] | 179,670 |
Less: Fixed costs | 877,567 |
Less: Depreciation [ $2858196 / 7 ] | 408,313.714285 |
Earnings before tax | 869,627.28572 |
Less: Tax @34% | 295,673.277144 |
Net Income | 573,954.008576 |
Add: Depreciation | 408,313.714285 |
Annual OCF | 982,267.722861 |
Particulars | Year | Amount (a) | PVIF @8% (b) | Present Value (a x b) |
Annual OCF | 1-7 | 982,267.722861 | 5.20637005906 | 5,114,049.26228 |
Add: Working Capital recovered | 7 | 132,915 | 0.58349039523 | 77,554.62588 |
Total Present value of Cash Inflows | 5,191,603.88816 | |||
Less: Initial Investment | 0 | 2,991,111 | 1 | 2,991,111 |
NPV | 2,200,492.88816 |
Now, lets say the price of new clubs is $850. We again compute NPV as above under this scenario assuming everything else remaining the same -
Particulars | Amount ($) |
Contribution from new clubs [ ($850 - $427) x 5446 ] | 2,303,658 |
Less: Contribution lost on high priced clubs [ ($1023 - $707) x 934 ] | 295,144 |
Add: Contribution from cheap clubs [ ($412 - $253) x 1130 ] | 179,670 |
Less: Fixed costs | 877,567 |
Less: Depreciation [ $2858196 / 7 ] | 408,313.714285 |
Earnings before tax | 902,303.28572 |
Less: Tax @34% | 306,783.117144 |
Net Income | 595,520.168576 |
Add: Depreciation | 408,313.714285 |
Annual OCF | 1,003,833.88286 |
Particulars | Year | Amount (a) | PVIF @8% (b) | Present Value (a x b) |
Annual OCF | 1-7 | 1,003,833.88286 | 5.20637005906 | 5,226,330.67199 |
Add: Working Capital recovered | 7 | 132,915 | 0.58349039523 | 77,554.62588 |
Total Present value of Cash Inflows | 5,303,885.29787 | |||
Less: Initial Investment | 0 | 2,991,111 | 1 | 2,991,111 |
NPV | 2,312,774.29787 |
Sensitivity = Change in NPV / Change in price of new clubs
or, Sensitivity = (2,312,774.29787 - 2,200,492.88816) / (850 - 844) = 18,713.568285 or 18714 [Also try 18713 in case you get incorrect answer]