In: Finance
Kitchen Envy produces cabinets to order. It is a mature business that earned EBITDA of $950,000 on revenues of $6million in the most recent year and is expected to continue to generate these figures in perpetuity. The company is considering carrying some of its most popular models in inventory, with an eye on increasing sales and operating profits. It has collected the following information:
• With the inventory, the company expects its annual revenues to increase to $7.7 million and its overall EBITDA margin (EBITDA as % of sales) to increase to 20%.
• For the next decade, the inventory will be maintained at 11% of total revenues, with the investment made at the start of each year. The inventory will be sold for book value at the end of 10 years.
• The cost of capital for the company is 11% and it faces a 40% tax rate.
A. Estimate the NPV of the project (carrying inventory) assuming at ten-year life for the investment.
B. Estimate the breakeven EBITDA margin for the company, for the investment to have a zero NPV, if you now assume that the project lasts forever
Assumption:
I) Zero depriciation and no salvage value
Cashflow schedule & NPV
Curent | Next Deceade | Incremental | Depriciation | Incre EBIT | New EBITDA Margin | ||||||
Revenue | $ 60,00,000 | $ 77,00,000 | $ 17,00,000 | 20% | |||||||
EBITDA | $ 9,50,000 | $ 15,40,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ - | $ 5,90,000 | ||||||
Year0 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | |
Increamental EBIT | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | $ 5,90,000 | |
+ Depriciation | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | |
-Tax | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | |
Increamental OCF(a) | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | |
Net Working Cap (b) | |||||||||||
Inventory | $ -8,47,000 | $ 8,47,000 | |||||||||
Capital Spending © | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - |
Total Project CF (a + B + c) | $ -8,47,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 3,54,000 | $ 12,01,000 |
Cost of Capital | 11% | ||||||||||
NPV | $ 15,36,088.39 | ||||||||||
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To find the NPV = 0, easiest way to do goal seek in x-cel, setting NPV cell = 0 , by changing incremental EBIT row which comes to $ 329170. Since, depriciation is assumed to 0, incremental EBITDA wil $ 329170 which is increased over curent EBITDA 950000. Total EBITDA margin for Zero NPV = (950000+329170) / 7700000 = 17%
Year0 | Year1 | Year2 | Year3 | Year4 | Year5 | Year6 | Year7 | Year8 | Year9 | Year10 | |
Increamental EBIT | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | $ 3,29,170 | |
+ Depriciation | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | |
-Tax | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | $ 2,36,000 | |
Increamental OCF(a) | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | |
Net Working Cap (b) | |||||||||||
Inventory | $ -8,47,000 | $ 8,47,000 | |||||||||
Capital Spending © | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - | $ - |
Total Project CF (a + B + c) | $ -8,47,000 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 93,170 | $ 9,40,170 |
Cost of Capital | 11% | ||||||||||
NPV | $ - | ||||||||||
Break Even EBITDA % | 17% |