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Prob Set 9 E 1. For each of the following countries, find and report the major...

Prob Set 9 E

1. For each of the following countries, find and report the major stock market index values for March 2017 and March 2018 (in this exact order, please do not change): Switzerland (^SSMI), Mexico (^MXX), India (^BSESN), Japan (^N225), France (^FCHI). You can find these data at: http://finance.yahoo.com by entering the symbols above in parentheses for each country in the search box at the top of the page. Click on “Historical Data” and then select “Monthly” for “Frequency” and click on “Apply.” Get the “Adjusted Close” price (local currency) on the right side for March (01) 2017 and March (01) 2018. For the same countries, go to the St. Louis Fed at http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/categories/95 and find and report monthly ex-rates for March 2017 and March 2018 for each of the five countries above. Once you select and click on a currency, you can click on “+ more” and then “View All” (upper left corner of screen next to the March 2018 ex-rate) to view the monthly exchange rates. You can also select the “Download” option (upper right corner of screen). Quote ex-rates with both currencies to four decimal places. Note: France uses the Euro as its currency.

a. For each country, report the stock index values and ex-rates for March 2017 and March 2018.

Country

Index

Value as on 31st march 2017

Value as on 31st march 2018

Currency

Value as on 31st march 2017

Value as on 31st march 2018

Switzerland

(^SSMI)

8,658.89

8,740.97

CHF

1.0031

0.9541

Mexico

(^MXX)

48,541.56

46,124.85

MXN

18.725

18.6

India

(^BSESN)

29,620.50

32,968.68

INR

64.86

65.115

Japan

(^N225)

18,909.26

21,454.30

JPY

111.39

106.28

France

(^FCHI)

5,122.51

5,167.30

EUR

0.9387

0.8115

b. Calculate the annual percentage return (%) for each stock market from March 2017 - March 2018, measured in local currency. Use the standard percentage change formula: [(P2 – P1) / P1] x 100), or the %CHG function on your HP calculator and express the answers as a percent to two decimal places, e.g. 3.25%.

c. For each currency, calculate the annual percentage change (to two decimal places, e.g. 3.25%) from March 2017 to March 2018 using the ex-rate exactly as quoted (do not reverse the quote), and for each currency separately, clearly explain in a full sentence or two whether (and why) each of the foreign currencies appreciated or depreciated versus the dollar (use the standard percentage change formula or the %CHG function on your calculator, expressed as a percent).

d. Calculate the effective, annual US dollar return (% to two decimal places) for a U.S. investor who had invested money in the stock markets of each of the five countries during the last year (March 2017 – March 2018), using the formula: Effective Dollar Return (%) = % Foreign Stock Market Return +/- % CHG (Appreciation/Depreciation) in the Foreign Currency

ANswer for B + C + D

Annual % change for stock market
Country % Change
Switzerland 0.95%
Mexico -4.98%
India 11.30%
Japan 13.46%
France 0.87%
Annual % Change for Currency
Country
Switzerland -4.88%
Mexico -0.67%
India 0.39%
Japan -4.59%
France -13.55%
Dollar Return
Country Investment Investment in local currency Number of Units of index purchased Value in USD % USD Return
Switzerland 1000 1003.1 0.12 1012.61 1061.32 6.13%
Mexico 1000 18725 0.39 17792.75 956.6 -4.34%
India 1000 64860 2.19 72191.51 1108.68 10.87%
Japan 1000 111390 5.89 126382.23 1189.14 18.91%
France 1000 938.7 0.18 946.91 1166.86 16.69%

Please assist on question below ( 4 total)

e. Explain your answers from part d for each country, in five separate, short essays of a few sentences per country where you report and explain the effective dollar return for an American investor in each country. Specifically mention both the return on the foreign stock market and the percentage change in the foreign currency over the last year, which together determine the one-year Effective Dollar Return to a U.S. investor.Now do a five-year analysis using the same countries by getting the stock market and ex-rate data for the months March 2013 and March 2018.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Part (A)

Country

Index

Value as on 31st march 2017

Value as on 31st march 2018

Currency

Value as on 31st march 2017

Value as on 31st march 2018

Switzerland

(^SSMI)

8,658.89

8,740.97

CHF

1.0031

0.9541

Mexico

(^MXX)

48,541.56

46,124.85

MXN

18.7250

18.6000

India

(^BSESN)

29,620.50

32,968.68

INR

64.8600

65.1150

Japan

(^N225)

18,909.26

21,454.30

JPY

111.3900

106.2800

France

(^FCHI)

5,122.51

5,167.30

EUR

0.9387

0.8115

Part (B)

Return in Local Currency

Country

Index

Value as on 31st march 2017 (P1)

Value as on 31st march 2018 (p2)

Return in Stock Exchanges local Currency R1 = ((P2-P1)/P1) X 100

Switzerland

(^SSMI)

8,658.89

8,740.97

0.95%

Mexico

(^MXX)

48,541.56

46,124.85

-4.98%

India

(^BSESN)

29,620.50

32,968.68

11.30%

Japan

(^N225)

18,909.26

21,454.30

13.46%

France

(^FCHI)

5,122.51

5,167.30

0.87%

Part (C)

Return in considering exchange rate

Country

Index

Value as on 31st march 2017 (P1)

Value as on 31st march 2018 (p2)

Return in local Currency = ((P2-P1)/P1) X 100

Value as on 31st march 2017 (V1)

Value as on 31st march 2018 (V2)

Return in Currency R2 = ((V2-V1)/V1) X 100

Return considering Exchange Rates R3 = ((1+R1) X (1+R2)) -1

Switzerland

(^SSMI)

8,658.89

8,740.97

0.95%

1.0031

0.9541

-4.88%

-3.98%

Mexico

(^MXX)

48,541.56

46,124.85

-4.98%

18.7250

18.6000

-0.67%

-5.61%

India

(^BSESN)

29,620.50

32,968.68

11.30%

64.8600

65.1150

0.39%

11.74%

Japan

(^N225)

18,909.26

21,454.30

13.46%

111.3900

106.2800

-4.59%

8.25%

France

(^FCHI)

5,122.51

5,167.30

0.87%

0.9387

0.8115

-13.55%

-12.79%


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