In: Statistics and Probability
Coal is carried from a mine in West Virginia to a power plant in New York in hopper cars on a long train. The automatic hopper car loader is set to put 68 tons of coal into each car. The actual weights of coal loaded into each car are normally distributed, with mean μ = 68 tons and standard deviation σ = 1.6 ton.
(a) What is the probability that one car chosen at random will have less than 67.5 tons of coal? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(b) What is the probability that 34 cars chosen at random will have a mean load weight x of less than 67.5 tons of coal? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(c) Suppose the weight of coal in one car was less than 67.5 tons. Would that fact make you suspect that the loader had slipped out of adjustment?
Yes or No
Suppose the weight of coal in 34 cars selected at random had an average x of less than 67.5 tons. Would that fact make you suspect that the loader had slipped out of adjustment? Why? Yes, the probability that this deviation is random is very small. Yes, the probability that this deviation is random is very large. No, the probability that this deviation is random is very small. No, the probability that this deviation is random is very large.
(a)
= 68
= 1.6
To find P(X<67.5):
Z = (67.5 - 6.8)/1.6
= - 0.3125
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.1217
So,
P(X<67.5) = 0.5 - 0.1217
= 0.3783
So,
Answer is:
0.3783
(b)
= 68
= 1.6
n = 34
SE = /
= 1.6/
= 0.2744
To find P(<67.5):
Z = (67.5 - 6.8)/0.2744
= - 1.8222
Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4656
So,
P(X<67.5) = 0.5 - 0.4656
= 0.0344
So,
Answer is:
0.0344
(c)
Correct option:
No,
Explanation:
Probability = 0.3783 = 37.63 % > 5 % , So, the probability that
this deviation is random is very large.
(d)
Correct option:
Yes, the probability that this deviation is random is very small.
Explanation:
Probability = 0.0344 = 3.44 % < 5 % , So, the probability that
this deviation is random is very small.