Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Coal is carried from a mine in West Virginia to a power plant in New York...

Coal is carried from a mine in West Virginia to a power plant in New York in hopper cars on a long train. The automatic hopper car loader is set to put 68 tons of coal into each car. The actual weights of coal loaded into each car are normally distributed, with mean μ = 68 tons and standard deviation σ = 1.6 ton.

(a) What is the probability that one car chosen at random will have less than 67.5 tons of coal? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

(b) What is the probability that 34 cars chosen at random will have a mean load weight x of less than 67.5 tons of coal? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

(c) Suppose the weight of coal in one car was less than 67.5 tons. Would that fact make you suspect that the loader had slipped out of adjustment?

Yes or No

Suppose the weight of coal in 34 cars selected at random had an average x of less than 67.5 tons. Would that fact make you suspect that the loader had slipped out of adjustment? Why? Yes, the probability that this deviation is random is very small. Yes, the probability that this deviation is random is very large. No, the probability that this deviation is random is very small. No, the probability that this deviation is random is very large.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a)

= 68

= 1.6

To find P(X<67.5):

Z = (67.5 - 6.8)/1.6

= - 0.3125

Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.1217

So,

P(X<67.5) = 0.5 - 0.1217

= 0.3783

So,

Answer is:

0.3783

(b)

= 68

= 1.6

n = 34

SE = /

= 1.6/

= 0.2744

To find P(<67.5):

Z = (67.5 - 6.8)/0.2744

= - 1.8222

Table of Area Under Standard Normal Curve gives area = 0.4656

So,

P(X<67.5) = 0.5 - 0.4656

= 0.0344

So,

Answer is:

0.0344

(c)

Correct option:

No,

Explanation:
Probability = 0.3783 = 37.63 % > 5 % , So, the probability that this deviation is random is very large.

(d)

Correct option:

Yes, the probability that this deviation is random is very small.

Explanation:
Probability = 0.0344 = 3.44 % < 5 % , So, the probability that this deviation is random is very small.


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