In: Economics
Why do you believe fiscal policy is so difficult to make? Is it better to make policies or simply let the economy handle problems? How will you decide this issue?
ans....
Fiscal policy is difficult to frame due to the following
reasons:
1. Government expenditure, usually crowds out private investment by
pushing up real interest rates in the economy. So an expansionary
fiscal policy hurts the productive capability of the economy by
contracting private investment.
2. Fiscal policy also becomes a highly politicised issue as it
deals with taxation and subsidies. An increase in tax rates might
be beneficial for an economy which might be grappling with high
fiscal deficits and thus more interest payments but such actions by
the government recieve public ire.
3. Moreover, the goverment is mandated with the task of bringing
equity in the society through taxes & subsidies. To help the
weaker sections of the society, the government might come up with
steps which would not lead to an optimal outcome. For instance,
protecting domestic manufacturers from foreign imports using
tarriffs.
It is better to frame policies as in many cases the economy might
not be able to recover from a market disruption within a reasonable
time frame. For instance, during the Great Recession, the US
government built several of the massive projects that we see today.
This was done because investment was not picking up after the
recession, so to create more jobs the government started spending.
In other cases, the government gives a taxcut to households so that
consumption picks up again.
We can say that fiscal policy becomes more like a catalyst in the
adjustment process for the economy.
We can decide the issue by gauging two metrics: state of the
economy in the business cycle and the fiscal space with the
government. Some normative arguments related to social welfare like
income and wealth ineqaulity also needs to be taken into
account.
If the economy is growing below its potential then an expansionary
fiscal policy should be followed. More government expenditure,
reduced tax rates are the solution. Quality of growth will depend
on whether the government is spending on investment or
consumption.
On the other hand, if the economy is overheating then austerity
measures should be taken by the government.
At the same time, the government should see that it is not running
high deficits. It should check primary(fisca deficit-terest
payments) and revenue deficit.
Usually a countercycylical fiscal policy along with market forces
will bring the economy back to its normal state.