In: Finance
How can investment correlation be used to reduce investment volatility while increasing invest return? Provide a simple example to illustrate your answer.
The reduction of investment volatility (measured by standard deviation of investment return) can be achieved through diversification of investment in assets with low or nil correlation (low correlation coefficient )
Diversified folios with low or nil correlation can reduce the risk and increase return.
If w1, w2 , w3 …wn are weight in the portfolio for assets 1, 2,3 ….n
Then,w1+w2+w3+……………………+wn=1
R1, R2,R3,…….Rn are the return of the assets 1, 2 , 3 ….n
S1, S2, S3……Sn are the standard deviation of the assets 1, 2, 3 …n
Portfolio Return=w1R1+w2R2+w3R3+…….+wnRn
Portfolio Variance=(w1^2)*(S1^2)+(w2^2)(S2^2)+………….(wn^2)*(Sn^2)+2w1w2*Cov(1,2)+2w1w3*Cov(1,3)+………+w(n-1)wn*Cov(n,(n-1)
Cov(1,2)=Covariance of returns of asset1 and asset2
If the correlation between the return of assets are zero,
Portfolio Variance==(w1^2)*(S1^2)+(w2^2)(S2^2)+………….(wn^2)*(Sn^2)
Portfolio Standard Deviation =Square root of Portfolio varianc
Suppose we have investment in asset A with mean return of 12% and standard deviation of 8%.
We can increase return and decrease volatility (standard deviation) in an uncorrelated asset B with Reurn 15% and standard deviation 10%
Return of assetA=Ra=12%
Return of assetB=Rb=15%
Standard deviation of asset A=Sa=8%
Standard deviation of asset B=Sb=10%
Correlation of asset Aand B=Corr(a,b)=0.1(low correlation)
Covariance(a,b)=Corr(b,2)*Sa*Sb=0.1*10*8=8
Assume for simplicity, equal amount is invested in asset 1 and asset 2
Hence, wa=wb=0.5
Portfolio Return;
0.5*12+0.5*15=13.5%
Return increased from 12% to 13.5%
Portfolio Variance=(0.5^2)*(10^2)+(0.5^2)*(8^2)+2*0.5*0.5*8=45
Portfolio Standard Deviation=Square root of Variance=(45^0.5)= 6.708204
Volatility measured by standard deviation decreased from 8% to 6.7%
The return will remain constant irrespective of the correlation.
The return, volatility (standard deviation) of the portfolio at different correlation between A and B are given below:
Correlation A,B |
Portfolio |
Portfolio |
Standard deviation |
Return |
|
0 |
6.4 |
13.5 |
0.1 |
6.7 |
13.5 |
0.2 |
7.0 |
13.5 |
0.3 |
7.3 |
13.5 |
0.4 |
7.5 |
13.5 |
0.5 |
7.8 |
13.5 |
0.6 |
8.1 |
13.5 |
0.7 |
8.3 |
13.5 |
0.8 |
8.5 |
13.5 |
0.9 |
8.8 |
13.5 |
1 |
9.0 |
13.5 |
If the correlation is higher than 0.5, there will not be any reduction in volatility(standard deviation)