In: Economics
Under the monetary approach to exchange rates, if there is a rise in a country's home money supply and, ceteris paribus, then the exchange rate should:
a. depreciate.
b. hold steady.
c. appreciate.
d. appreciate and then remain steady.
Why? Explain intuitively and show your work by using “monetary approach to exchange rates” model.
Under the monetary approach to exchange rates when domestic or
country's home mone supply increases then the exchange rate will
(a) depreciate.
Under the monetary approach the exchange rate is directly related
to the purchasing power parity (PPP).One of the important
predictions of this approach is that the monetary policy will
affect the exchange rates.Increased money supply will lead to
inflation.This will cause the exchange rate to depreciate.When
there is an increase in money supply an effect known as the
magnification effect will take place.Due to inflation the real
demand for money will fall .This causes the exchange rate to
depreciate.
The monetary approach to exchange rate model:
The major assumptions are i) AS curve is vertical as shown in the
figure.ii)real money demand is a function of real income iii)there
is purchase power parity shown as p=sp* in the figure
When the money supply increases under the fixed exchange rate
regime due to increased money supply there is an increase in AD.It
will also increase the prices in the domestic market and will make
them more uncompetitive.Thus the central bank will reduce the
foreign exchange reserves.Thus whenever there is an increase in
money supply there is decrease in foreign exchange reserves and
will keep the money supply constant.