Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Cutting Speed (meters per minute) Useful Life Brand A (Hours) Useful Life Brand B (Hours) 30...

Cutting Speed (meters per minute) Useful Life Brand A (Hours) Useful Life Brand B (Hours)

30 5.2 6.3

30 4.4 6.4

30 5.2 5.2

40 4.5 6.0

40 3.7 4.6

40 2.5 5.0

50 4.4 4.5

50 2.8 4.0

50 1.0 3.7

60 4.0 3.8

60 2.0 3.0

60 1.1 2.4

70 1.1 1.5

70 0.5 2.0

70 3.0 1.0

.

Use a 95​% confidence interval to estimate the mean useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the cutting speed is 45 meters per minute. Repeat for brand B. Compare the widths of the two intervals and comment on the reasons for any difference.

The mean useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the cutting speed is ___ to ____ hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

The mean useful life of a brand B cutting tool when the cutting speed is ___ to ____ hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

Compare the widths of the two intervals and comment on the reasons for any difference. Choose the correct answer below.

A. Brand A is wider than brand B. The estimated standard error of y^ is different for the two intervals.

B. Brand B is wider than brand A. The value of t α/2 is different for the two intervals.

C. Brand A is wider than brand B. The calue of y^ is different for the two intervals.

D. There is no difference in the widths of the two intervals.

b. Use a 95% prediction interval to predict the useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the cutting speed is 45 meters per minute. Repeat for brand B. Compare the widths of the two intervals to each other and to the two intervals you calculated in part a. Comment on the reasons for any difference.

The predicted useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the speed is 45 meters per minute is ___ to ____ hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

The predicted useful life of a brand B cutting tool when the speed is 45 meters per minute ___ to ____ hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

Compare the widths of the two intervals to each other. Choose the correct answer below.

A.The prediction interval for brand A is larger than the prediction interval for brand B because the estimated standard error of y^ is different for the two intervals.

B.The prediction interval for brand B is larger than the prediction interval for brand A because the value of  y^ is different for the two intervals.

C.The prediction intervals are the same size.

Compare the widths of the two prediction intervals to the two confidence intervals you calculated in part a.

Choose the correct answer below.

A.The prediction intervals are both larger than the corresponding confidence intervals.

B.The prediction intervals are both smaller than the corresponding confidence intervals.

C.The two prediction intervals are the same size as the corresponding confidence intervals.

D.There is no difference in the widths of the four intervals.

Comment on the reasons for any difference. Choose the correct answer below.

A. The value of t α/2 for the estimated mean value of y is smaller than the value of t α/2 for the predicted value of y.

B. The standard error for the estimated mean value of y is smaller than the standard error for the predicted value of y.

C. The standard error for the estimated mean value of y is larger than the standard error for the predicted value of y.

D. The value of t α/2 for the estimated mean value of y is larger than the value of t α/2 for the predicted value of y.

c. Suppose you were asked to predict the useful life of a brand A cutting tool for a cutting speed of x=100 meters per minute. Because the given value of x is outside the range of the sample​ x-values, the prediction is an example of extrapolation. Predict the useful life of a brand A cutting tool that is operated at 100 meters per minute and construct a 95​% prediction interval for the actual useful life of the tool. What additional assumption do you have to make in order to ensure the validity of an​ extrapolation?

The predicted useful life of a brand A cutting tool that is operated at 100 meters per minute is _____ hours. ​(Round to two decimal places as​ needed.)

The actual predicted useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the speed is 100 meters per minute is ______ to ____ hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

What additional assumption do you have to make in order to ensure the validity of an​ extrapolation?

A.The linear regression is an accurate model when x=100.

B.The value of t α/2 can be found for x=100.

C.There is no additional assumption required.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Use a 95​% confidence interval to estimate the mean useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the cutting speed is 45 meters per minute. Repeat for brand B. Compare the widths of the two intervals and comment on the reasons for any difference.

The mean useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the cutting speed is 2.8 to 4.1 hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

The mean useful life of a brand B cutting tool when the cutting speed is 4.2 to 4.9 hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

Compare the widths of the two intervals and comment on the reasons for any difference. Choose the correct answer below.

Answer: A. Brand A is wider than brand B. The estimated standard error of y^ is different for the two intervals.

B. Brand B is wider than brand A. The value of t α/2 is different for the two intervals.

C. Brand A is wider than brand B. The calue of y^ is different for the two intervals.

D. There is no difference in the widths of the two intervals.

b. Use a 95% prediction interval to predict the useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the cutting speed is 45 meters per minute. Repeat for brand B. Compare the widths of the two intervals to each other and to the two intervals you calculated in part a. Comment on the reasons for any difference.

The predicted useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the speed is 45 meters per minute is 0.9 to 6.0 hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

The predicted useful life of a brand B cutting tool when the speed is 45 meters per minute 3.2 to 5.8 hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

Compare the widths of the two intervals to each other. Choose the correct answer below.

Answer: A.The prediction interval for brand A is larger than the prediction interval for brand B because the estimated standard error of y^ is different for the two intervals.

B.The prediction interval for brand B is larger than the prediction interval for brand A because the value of  y^ is different for the two intervals.

C.The prediction intervals are the same size.

Compare the widths of the two prediction intervals to the two confidence intervals you calculated in part a.

Choose the correct answer below.

Answer: A.The prediction intervals are both larger than the corresponding confidence intervals.

B.The prediction intervals are both smaller than the corresponding confidence intervals.

C.The two prediction intervals are the same size as the corresponding confidence intervals.

D.There is no difference in the widths of the four intervals.

Comment on the reasons for any difference. Choose the correct answer below.

A. The value of t α/2 for the estimated mean value of y is smaller than the value of t α/2 for the predicted value of y.

Answer: B. The standard error for the estimated mean value of y is smaller than the standard error for the predicted value of y.

C. The standard error for the estimated mean value of y is larger than the standard error for the predicted value of y.

D. The value of t α/2 for the estimated mean value of y is larger than the value of t α/2 for the predicted value of y.

c. Suppose you were asked to predict the useful life of a brand A cutting tool for a cutting speed of x=100 meters per minute. Because the given value of x is outside the range of the sample​ x-values, the prediction is an example of extrapolation. Predict the useful life of a brand A cutting tool that is operated at 100 meters per minute and construct a 95​% prediction interval for the actual useful life of the tool. What additional assumption do you have to make in order to ensure the validity of an​ extrapolation?

The predicted useful life of a brand A cutting tool that is operated at 100 meters per minute is -0.97 hours. ​(Round to two decimal places as​ needed.)

The actual predicted useful life of a brand A cutting tool when the speed is 100 meters per minute is -4.4 to 2.4 hours. (Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

What additional assumption do you have to make in order to ensure the validity of an​ extrapolation?

Answer: A.The linear regression is an accurate model when x=100.

B.The value of t α/2 can be found for x=100.

C.There is no additional assumption required.

Excel Addon Megastat used.

Menu used: correlation/Regression ---- Regression Analysis

Regression Analysis

0.532

n

15

r

-0.729

k

1

Std. Error

1.140

Dep. Var.

Brand A

ANOVA table

Source

SS

df

MS

F

p-value

Regression

19.2000

1  

19.2000

14.78

.0020

Residual

16.8893

13  

1.2992

Total

36.0893

14  

Regression output

confidence interval

variables

coefficients

std. error

   t (df=13)

p-value

95% lower

95% upper

Intercept

7.0267

1.0813

6.498

2.01E-05

4.6906

9.3627

Speed

-0.0800

0.0208

-3.844

.0020

-0.1250

-0.0350

Predicted values for: Brand A

95% Confidence Interval

95% Prediction Interval

Speed

Predicted

lower

upper

lower

upper

Leverage

45

3.4267

2.7523

4.1010

0.8736

5.9798

0.075

Regression Analysis

0.896

n

15

r

-0.946

k

1

Std. Error

0.573

Dep. Var.

Brand B

ANOVA table

Source

SS

df

MS

F

p-value

Regression

36.7413

1  

36.7413

111.74

9.42E-08

Residual

4.2747

13  

0.3288

Total

41.0160

14  

Regression output

confidence interval

variables

coefficients

std. error

   t (df=13)

p-value

95% lower

95% upper

Intercept

9.4933

0.5440

17.451

2.11E-10

8.3181

10.6686

Speed

-0.1107

0.0105

-10.571

9.42E-08

-0.1333

-0.0880

Predicted values for: Brand B

95% Confidence Interval

95% Prediction Interval

Speed

Predicted

lower

upper

lower

upper

Leverage

45

4.5133

4.1741

4.8526

3.2289

5.7978

0.075

Regression Analysis

0.532

n

15

r

-0.729

k

1

Std. Error

1.140

Dep. Var.

Brand A

ANOVA table

Source

SS

df

MS

F

p-value

Regression

19.2000

1  

19.2000

14.78

.0020

Residual

16.8893

13  

1.2992

Total

36.0893

14  

Regression output

confidence interval

variables

coefficients

std. error

   t (df=13)

p-value

95% lower

95% upper

Intercept

7.0267

1.0813

6.498

2.01E-05

4.6906

9.3627

Speed

-0.0800

0.0208

-3.844

.0020

-0.1250

-0.0350

Predicted values for: Brand A

95% Confidence Interval

95% Prediction Interval

Speed

Predicted

lower

upper

lower

upper

Leverage

100

-0.9733

-3.3094

1.3627

-4.3675

2.4209

0.900


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