In: Finance
| 
 State of the economy  | 
 probability  | 
 Estimated rate of return  | 
| 
 Strong growth  | 
 .1  | 
 25%  | 
| 
 Moderate growth  | 
 .4  | 
 15  | 
| 
 Weak growth  | 
 .4  | 
 10  | 
| 
 Recession  | 
 .1  | 
 -12  | 
Expected Return = 0.10(0.25) + 0.40(0.15) + 0.40(0.10) + 0.10(-0.12)
Expected Return = 11.30%
Variance = [(0.1)(0.25 - 0.113)2 + 0.4(0.15 - 0.113)2 + (0.4)(0.10 - 0.113)2 + 0.1(-0.12 - 0.113)2]
Variance = 0.0079
Standard Deviation = (0.0079)1/2
Standard Deviation = 0.089
CV = 0.089/0.113
CV = 0.79