In: Finance
FastTrack Bikes, Inc. is thinking of developing a new composite road bike. Development will take six years and the cost is $223,000 per year. Once in production, the bike is expected to make $ 356,800 per year for 10 years. Assume the cost of capital is 10 %
a. Calculate the NPV of this investment opportunity, assuming all cash flows occur at the end of each year. Should the company make the investment?
b. By how much must the cost of capital estimate deviate to change the decision? (Hint: Use Excel to calculate the IRR.)
c. What is the NPV of the investment if the cost of capital is 15 %?
Note: Assume that all cash flows occur at the end of the appropriate year and that the inflows do not start until year 7.
Computation of present value | |||||||||
year | Cash flow | PVIF @10% | Present value | ||||||
1 | -223000 | 0.9091 | (202,727) | ||||||
2 | -223000 | 0.8264 | (184,298) | ||||||
3 | -223000 | 0.7513 | (167,543) | ||||||
4 | -223000 | 0.6830 | (152,312) | ||||||
5 | -223000 | 0.6209 | (138,465) | ||||||
6 | -223000 | 0.5645 | (125,878) | ||||||
7 | 356,800 | 0.5132 | 183,095 | ||||||
8 | 356,800 | 0.4665 | 166,450 | ||||||
9 | 356,800 | 0.4241 | 151,318 | ||||||
10 | 356,800 | 0.3855 | 137,562 | ||||||
11 | 356,800 | 0.3505 | 125,056 | ||||||
12 | 356,800 | 0.3186 | 113,687 | ||||||
13 | 356,800 | 0.2897 | 103,352 | ||||||
14 | 356,800 | 0.2633 | 93,957 | ||||||
15 | 356,800 | 0.2394 | 85,415 | ||||||
16 | 356,800 | 0.2176 | 77,650 | ||||||
Net present value | 266,319 | ||||||||
negative values are cash outflow and positive values are cash inflows. | |||||||||
Answer a) NPV = | 266,319 | ||||||||
Answer b) IRR = rate at which present value of cash flow = present value of cash outflow | |||||||||
using excel formula we have | 13.65% | ||||||||
if cost of capital increases above 13.65% (or increased by more than 3.65% vs currnet 10%) decision will change . | |||||||||
Answer C) NPV of the investment if the cost of capital is 15% | |||||||||
year | Cash flow | PVIF @15% | Present value | ||||||
1 | -223000 | 0.8696 | (193,913) | ||||||
2 | -223000 | 0.7561 | (168,620) | ||||||
3 | -223000 | 0.6575 | (146,626) | ||||||
4 | -223000 | 0.5718 | (127,501) | ||||||
5 | -223000 | 0.4972 | (110,870) | ||||||
6 | -223000 | 0.4323 | (96,409) | ||||||
7 | 356,800 | 0.3759 | 134,134 | ||||||
8 | 356,800 | 0.3269 | 116,639 | ||||||
9 | 356,800 | 0.2843 | 101,425 | ||||||
10 | 356,800 | 0.2472 | 88,196 | ||||||
11 | 356,800 | 0.2149 | 76,692 | ||||||
12 | 356,800 | 0.1869 | 66,688 | ||||||
13 | 356,800 | 0.1625 | 57,990 | ||||||
14 | 356,800 | 0.1413 | 50,426 | ||||||
15 | 356,800 | 0.1229 | 43,849 | ||||||
16 | 356,800 | 0.1069 | 38,129 | ||||||
Net present value | (69,772) | ||||||||
NPV is negative @ 15% discount rate = | (69,772) |