Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Situation: The Ipod Touch has been out for two years now and a lot of data...

Situation: The Ipod Touch has been out for two years now and a lot of data has been collected.

Relevant Relationship:

There is a functional relationship between Price of an IPod Touch,pp and Weekly Demand,ss.

Below is a table of data that have been collected

Price,pp,($) Weekly Demand,ss,(1,000s)
150 211
170 201
190 193
210 189
230 184
250 173

A.. Find the linear model that best fits this data using regression and enter the model below

(for entry round the linear parameter value to nearest 0.01 and constant parameter to nearest 1)

s=T(p)=s=T(p)=    

B. The squared correlation coefficient r2r2 was Select an answer below above  0.95

(note: values less than 0.95 MAY mean the model is not appropriate for making predictions)

Now answer these two questions using the UNROUNDED model parameters

C. What does the model predict will be the weekly demand if the price of an ipod touch is $177 ?  (nearest 100)

D. According to the model at what should the price be set in order to have a weekly demand of 193,900 ipod Touches? $ (nearest $1)

Note: In the "real" world Apple sold about 20 million Ipod Touch's from Sept. 2007-Sept. 2009 Answer

Solutions

Expert Solution

Price(X) Demand(Y) (Y-Y bar)2 (X-Xbar)2 (X-Xbar)(Y-Ybar) Y_hat (Y_hat-Ybar)2 (Y-Y_hat)2
150 211 =(C2-$C$9)^2 =(B2-$B$9)^2 =(C2-$C$9)*(B2-$B$9) =$B$11+$B$10*B2 =(G2-$C$9)^2 =(C2-G2)^2
170 201 =(C3-$C$9)^2 =(B3-$B$9)^2 =(C3-$C$9)*(B3-$B$9) =$B$11+$B$10*B3 =(G3-$C$9)^2 =(C3-G3)^2
190 193 =(C4-$C$9)^2 =(B4-$B$9)^2 =(C4-$C$9)*(B4-$B$9) =$B$11+$B$10*B4 =(G4-$C$9)^2 =(C4-G4)^2
210 189 =(C5-$C$9)^2 =(B5-$B$9)^2 =(C5-$C$9)*(B5-$B$9) =$B$11+$B$10*B5 =(G5-$C$9)^2 =(C5-G5)^2
230 184 =(C6-$C$9)^2 =(B6-$B$9)^2 =(C6-$C$9)*(B6-$B$9) =$B$11+$B$10*B6 =(G6-$C$9)^2 =(C6-G6)^2
250 173 =(C7-$C$9)^2 =(B7-$B$9)^2 =(C7-$C$9)*(B7-$B$9) =$B$11+$B$10*B7 =(G7-$C$9)^2 =(C7-G7)^2
Total =SUM(B2:B7) =SUM(C2:C7) =SUM(D2:D7) =SUM(E2:E7) =SUM(F2:F7) =SUM(G2:G7) =SUM(H2:H7) =SUM(I2:I7)
Mean =B8/6 =C8/6
Beta1 =F8/E8
Beta0 =C9-B10*B9
SSR =H8
SST =D8
R2 =B12/B13
Price(X) Demand(Y) (Y-Y bar)2 (X-Xbar)2 (X-Xbar)(Y-Ybar) Y_hat (Y_hat-Ybar)2 (Y-Y_hat)2
150 211 367.3611 2500 -958.333 209.3333 306.25 2.777778
170 201 84.02778 900 -275 202.3333 110.25 1.777778
190 193 1.361111 100 -11.6667 195.3333 12.25 5.444444
210 189 8.027778 100 -28.3333 188.3333 12.25 0.444444
230 184 61.36111 900 -235 181.3333 110.25 7.111111
250 173 354.6944 2500 -941.667 174.3333 306.25 1.777778
Total 1200 1151 876.8333 7000 -2450 1151 857.5 19.33333
Mean 200 191.8333
Beta1 -0.35
Beta0 261.8333
SSR 857.5
SST 876.8333
R2 0.977951

a) The fitted linear model

demand = 261.8333 - 0.35 price

b)

c) demand =261.8333 - 0.35 (177) = 199.8833

d) The price to be set 190 theoretically.

By the fitted model it should be, 194.0952

193.9 = 261.8333 - 0.35 (price)

therefore, price = 194.0952


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