In: Statistics and Probability
Consider the sample space S={ᴏ₁, ᴏ₂, ᴏ₃, ᴏ₄, ᴏ₅}. Suppose that Pr (ᴏ₁) =0.17 and Pr (ᴏ₂) =0.47.
(a)
Find the probability assignment for the probability space when ᴏ₃, ᴏ₄, and ᴏ₅ all have the same probability.
(b)
Find the probability assignment for the probability space when Pr (ᴏ₅) =0.15 and ᴏ₅ has the same probability as ᴏ₄ and ᴏ₅ combined.
Pr (ᴏ₂)=
Pr (ᴏ₃)=
Pr (ᴏ₄)=
Pr (ᴏ₅)=
Here,
space S={ᴏ₁, ᴏ₂, ᴏ₃, ᴏ₄, ᴏ₅}.
Pr (ᴏ₁) =0.17
Pr (ᴏ₂) =0.47
(a)-> Since ᴏ₃, ᴏ₄, and ᴏ₅ all have the same probability,
Let us consider the probability be 'p'.
we know that the total probability of sample space is 1.
Pr(ᴏ₁) + Pr(ᴏ₂) + Pr(ᴏ₃) + Pr(ᴏ₄) + Pr(ᴏ₅) = 1
0.17 + 0.47 + p + p + p = 1
3p = 1 - 0.64
p = 0.36/3 = 0.12
Hence the probability assignment is given by:
Pr (ᴏ₁) =0.17
Pr (ᴏ₂)= 0.47
Pr (ᴏ₃)= 0.12
Pr (ᴏ₄)= 0.12
Pr (ᴏ₅)= 0.12
(b)->
Here,
Pr (ᴏ₅) =0.15 and ᴏ₅ has the same probability as ᴏ₄ and ᴏ₅ combined. which means that Pr (ᴏ₄) + Pr (ᴏ₅) = 0.15. which implies that Pr (ᴏ₄) = 0
Let the Pr (ᴏ₃) = q. Then,
we know that the total probability of sample space is 1.
Pr(ᴏ₁) + Pr(ᴏ₂) + Pr(ᴏ₃) + Pr(ᴏ₄) + Pr(ᴏ₅) = 1
0.17 + 0.47 + q + 0.15 = 1
q = 1 - 0.79 = 0.21
Hence the probability assignment is given by:
Pr (ᴏ₁) =0.17
Pr (ᴏ₂)= 0.47
Pr (ᴏ₃)= q = 0.21
Pr (ᴏ₄)= 0
Pr (ᴏ₅)= 0.15