In: Statistics and Probability
During the Flint, MI lead water crisis, you have developed a new method for determining lead in water that is faster and cheaper than the current conventional method. Use the data in the table to answer the following questions:
Method |
Average Lead Concentration (ppb) |
Standard deviation (ppb) |
Number of replicates |
Conventional |
14.9 |
0.8 |
6 |
Your New Method |
15.6 |
1.1 |
6 |
Are your new method measurements accurate if a standard reference water sample contains 15.0 ppb of lead (which is the legal limit in drinking water)? Hint: Which two numbers are you comparing! Give a brief explanation to receive
Soluion :
a)
Null and alternative hypothesis:
Hₒ : σ₁ = σ₂
H₁ : σ₁ ≠ σ₂
Test statistic:
F = s₁² / s₂² = 0.8² / 1.1² = 0.5289
Degree of freedom:
df₁ = n₁-1 = 5
df₂ = n₂-1 = 5
Critical value(s):
Lower tailed critical value, FL = F.INV(0.05/2, 5, 5) =
0.1399
Upper tailed critical value, FU = F.INV(1-0.05/2, 5, 5) =
7.1464
P-value :
P-value = 2*F.DIST.RT(0.5289, 5, 5) = 1.4986
Conclusion:
As p-value > α, we fail to reject the null
hypothesis.
standard deviations between the two methods are statistically the same
b)
Ho : µ1 - µ2 = 0
Ha : µ1-µ2 ╪ 0
Level of Significance , α =
0.05
Sample #1 ----> Conventional
mean of sample 1, x̅1= 14.90
standard deviation of sample 1, s1 =
0.80
size of sample 1, n1= 6
Sample #2 ----> New Method
mean of sample 2, x̅2= 15.60
standard deviation of sample 2, s2 =
1.10
size of sample 2, n2= 6
difference in sample means = x̅1-x̅2 =
14.9000 - 15.6 =
-0.70
pooled std dev , Sp= √([(n1 - 1)s1² + (n2 - 1)s2²]/(n1+n2-2)) =
0.9618
std error , SE = Sp*√(1/n1+1/n2) = 0.5553
t-statistic = ((x̅1-x̅2)-µd)/SE = ( -0.7000
- 0 ) / 0.56 =
Degree of freedom, DF= n1+n2-2 =
10
p-value = 0.236061 (excel function: =T.DIST.2T(t
stat,df) )
Conclusion: p-value>α , Do not reject null
hypothesis
There is not enough evidence to Convemtional and New method
are different.
c)
new method measurements is not precise as it has standard deviation of 1.1.
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