Question

In: Finance

A stock initially selling at $100 could increase by 10% with probability of 60% or decrease...

A stock initially selling at $100 could increase by 10% with probability of 60% or decrease by 10% with probability of 40% every six months. Suppose that the continuous interest rate is 5% per six-month. A call option on the stock specifies an exercise price of $100 and a time to expiration of one year, what is its price using binomial pricing method? A) 6.78 B) 4.75 C)6.84 D. None of the above

Solutions

Expert Solution

Discrete interest rate = e^5% -1 = 5.13%

S0 = Stock price today = 100
r= risk free interest rate = 5.127%
u= up factor = 1.1
d= Down factor = 0.9
X = Exercise price = 100
We first compute the possible values of the stock at each node in the binomial tree:
t=1
S+ = = 100*1.1 = 110
S- = = 100*0.9 = 90
t = 2 = T
S++ = = 100*1.1*1.1 = 121
S+ - = = 100*1.1*0.9 = 99
S- - = = 100*0.9*0.9 = 81
Intrinsic value of the call option at expiration
c++ = = Max(0, S++ - X)
= Max(0, 121 - 100) = 21
c+ - = = Max(0, S+ - - X)
= Max(0, 99 - 100) = 0
c- - = = Max(0, S- - - X)
= Max(0, 81 - 100) = 0
∏= =
∏= Probability of up =                       0.6000
1- ∏= =                       0.4000
Compute the value of call option at each node for t=1
c+ = Call price t=1 = [c++ + (1-)c+ - ]/ (1+r)
c+= [0.6*21 + 0.4*0] /[1+0.0512710963760241 ] = 11.99
c- = Call price t=1 = [c+ - + (1-)c- - ]/ (1+r)
[0.6*0 + 0.4*0] /[1+0.0512710963760241 ] =                                -  
Finally, value of call option
c = Call price t=0 = [c+ + (1-)c - ]/ (1+r)
c = Call price today
[0.6*11.99 + 0.4*0] /[1+0.0512710963760241 ] =                            6.84

Answer is 6.84

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