In: Statistics and Probability
Philip Morris wishes to determine if there is a difference between the proportion of women and proportion of men who smoke cigarettes. Random samples of 105 women and 115 men reveal that 7 women and 18 men smoke cigarettes. Does the data indicate that the proportion of women who smoke cigarettes is lower than the proportion of men who do at α=.025?
For the hypothesis stated above, what is the test statistic (in terms of "Women" minus "Men")?
a. |
-2.1537 |
|
b. |
None of the answers is correct |
|
c. |
-2.1352 |
|
d. |
-2.1141 |
|
e. |
-2.0975 |
Solution :
Given that,
n1 = 105
x1 = 7
Point estimate = sample proportion = 1 = x1 / n1 = 0.067
n2 = 115
x2 = 18
Point estimate = sample proportion = 2 = x2 / n2 = 0.157
The value of the pooled proportion is computed as,
= ( x1 + x2 ) / ( n1 + n2 )
= (7 + 18 ) / (105 + 115 )
= 0.114
1 - = 0.886
Level of significance = = 0.025
This a two-tailed test.
The null and alternative hypothesis is,
Ho: p1 = p2
Ha: p1 p2
Test statistics
z = (1 - 2 ) / *(1-) ( 1/n1 + 1/n2 )
= (0.067 - 0.157 ) / (0.114 * 0.886 ) (1/105 + 1/115 )
= -2.0975
Option e) is correct.
P-value = 2 * P(Z < z )
= 2 * P(Z < -2.0975 )
= 2 * 0.0180
= 0.036
The p-value is p = 0.036, and since p = 0.036 > 0.025, it is concluded that fail to reject the null hypothesis.