In: Economics
Gross domestic product is a measure
that tells the value of final products & services produced in a
particular geographical area within the given time period. GDP
reflects the economic activity and it is an indicator of the
different stages of the business cycle, the economy is going
through.
GDP level increases when the economy is expansion stage of the
business cycle and GDP level decreases with the recessionary stage
of the business cycle. It means that GDP is positively correlated
with the business cycle of the economy. An increasing growth rate
or the decreasing growth rate of the GDP tells the status of the
business cycle. On this basis, the government and the central bank
( Federal Reserve in the USA) take corrective actions and put the
economy back on track by affecting the different stages of the
business cycle. Hence, with the evaluation of GDP of different
periods, business cycle stages can be assessed.
There are different factor that affects the business cycle. The
first factor is the unemployment level. If the level of the
unemployment is at the natural level. Then, the economy is going
through the expansion phase and the aggregate demand is very high
in the economy. The second factor is the fiscal policy. Fiscal
policy, such as increase in spending and decrease in the taxes,
will cause the increase in the aggregate demand and economy will
move out of recession or recover and enter into the phase of
expansion. The third factor is the inflation rate. A higher
inflation comes from increase in the price of the factors of the
production. It will decrease the production & slow down the
economy. Accordingly the business cycle phase changes. The fourth
factor is the monetary policy and its manipulation of the money
supply and interest rates. It will encourage or discourage the
spending and business cycle will be affected. Besides, the level of
disposable income, tariff applied on products, also affect the
business cycle.