Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The Toyota Camry is one of the best-selling cars in North America. The cost of a...

The Toyota Camry is one of the best-selling cars in North America. The cost of a previously owned Camry depends upon many factors, including the model year, mileage, and condition. To investigate the relationship between the car’s mileage and the sales price for a 2007 model year Camry, the following data show the mileage and sales price for 19 sales (PriceHub website, February 24, 2012). Suppose that you are considering purchasing a previously owned 2007 Camry that has been driven 60,000 miles. What price you would offer to the seller and why?

Include discussion of the scatter diagram, regression equation, test for significant relationship, coefficient of determination, correlation coefficient, interpretation of the slope of the regression equation, 95% prediction interval and the 95% confidence interval of the mean sales price given mileage.

Miles (1000s)

Price ($1000s)

22

16.2

29

16

36

13.8

47

11.5

63

12.5

77

12.9

73

11.2

87

13

92

11.8

101

10.8

110

8.3

28

12.5

59

11.1

68

15

68

12.2

91

13

42

15.6

65

12.7

110

8.3

Solutions

Expert Solution

miles, X Price, Y XY X² Y²
22 16.20 356.4 484 262.44
29 16.00 464 841 256
36 13.80 496.8 1296 190.44
47 11.50 540.5 2209 132.25
63 12.50 787.5 3969 156.25
77 12.90 993.3 5929 166.41
73 11.20 817.6 5329 125.44
87 13.00 1131 7569 169
92 11.80 1085.6 8464 139.24
101 10.80 1090.8 10201 116.64
110 8.30 913 12100 68.89
28 12.50 350 784 156.25
59 11.10 654.9 3481 123.21
68 15.00 1020 4624 225
68 12.20 829.6 4624 148.84
91 13.00 1183 8281 169
42 15.60 655.2 1764 243.36
65 12.70 825.5 4225 161.29
110 8.30 913 12100 68.89
Sample size, n = 19
Ʃ x = 1268
Ʃ y = 238.4
Ʃ xy = 15107.7
Ʃ x² = 98274
Ʃ y² = 3078.84
x̅ = 66.73684211
y̅ = 12.54736842
SSxx = Ʃx² - (Ʃx)²/n = 13651.68421
SSyy = Ʃy² - (Ʃy)²/n = 87.54736842
SSxy = Ʃxy - (Ʃx)(Ʃy)/n = -802.3631579

Scatter plot:

Slope, b = SSxy/SSxx =    -0.058773932          
y-intercept, a = y̅ -b* x̅ =    16.46975503          
              
Regression equation :               
ŷ = 16.4698 + (-0.0588) x

Coefficient of determination, r² = (SSxy)²/(SSxx*SSyy) = 0.5387

Correlation coefficient, r = SSxy/√(SSxx*SSyy) = -0.7339

Interpret slope:

A unit increase in the number of miles decreases the price of car by 0.0588 units.

Sum of Square error, SSE = SSyy -b*Ssxy =    40.38933
Standard error, se = √(SSE/(n-2)) =   1.54138

Predicted value at X =   60          
ŷ =16.4698 - 0.0588 * 60 = 12.943   
Price that would be offered to seller = 12.943 *1000 = $12943

At α = 0.05 and df = n-2 =17, critical value, t_c = T.INV.2T(0.05, 2) = 2.1098

95%   Prediction interval :                          
  
                              
95%   Confidence interval :                          


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