In: Accounting
Halliford Corporation expects to have earnings this coming year of $ 3.32 per share. Halliford plans to retain all of its earnings for the next two years. For the subsequent two years, the firm will retain 48 % of its earnings. It will then retain 21 % of its earnings from that point onward. Each year, retained earnings will be invested in new projects with an expected return of 20.11 % per year. Any earnings that are not retained will be paid out as dividends. Assume Halliford's share count remains constant and all earnings growth comes from the investment of retained earnings. If Halliford's equity cost of capital is 9.4 %, what price would you estimate for Halliford stock?
The price per share is $
(Round to the nearest cent.)
Determination of price would you estimate for halliford stock | ||||||||
S.No | Particulars | Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Year 6 |
1 | EPS Growth Rate(vs Prior Year) | 20.11% | 20.11% | 9.65%(48%*20.11%) | 9.65%(48%*20.11%) | 4.22%(21%*20.11% | ||
Growth rate=Rentention Ratio*Rate of return on New Investment | ||||||||
2 | EPS | - | 3.32 | 3.99 | 4.79 | 5.25 | 5.76 | 6 |
Dividends | ||||||||
3 | Rentention Ratio | 100% | 100% | 48% | 48% | 21% | 21% | |
4 | Dividend Payout Ratio | 0 | 0 | 52% | 52% | 79% | 79% | |
5 | Dividend | - | - | 2.49 | 2.73 | 4.55 | 4.74 | |
6 | Discount factor at 9.40% | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.76 | 0.7 | 0.64 | 0.58 | |
7 | Value(5*6) | 1.89 | 1.91 | 2.91 | 2.75 | |||
Add: Present Value of constant dividends | 53.07(note) | |||||||
Price of the share is | 1.89 | 1.91 | 2.91 | 55.82 | ||||
Working Notes | ||||||||
From year 5 Dividend will grow at 4.22% Approxmately Constant and therefore | ||||||||
Price at year 5 =4.74/(0.0940-0.0422) | ||||||||
Price at year 5 =91.50*.58=53.07 | ||||||||
Price would you estimate for halliford shares is( 55.82+1.89+1.91+2.91)=$62.53 |