In: Finance
Storico Co. just paid a dividend of $1.75 per share. The company will increase its dividend by 24 percent next year and then reduce its dividend growth rate by 6 percentage points per year until it reaches the industry average of 6 percent dividend growth, after which the company will keep a constant growth rate forever. If the stock price is $44.96, what required return must investors be demanding on the company's stock? (Hint: Set up the valuation formula with all the relevant cash flows, and use trial and error to find the unknown rate of return.)
Growth rate for first year will be 24% and it will reduce by 6% every year. It means, growth rate in year 1 , 2, 3, 4 will be 24% , 18%, 12% and 6%, respectively.
Let's consider, Required rate of return = r
So,
D0 = $ 1.75
D1 = 1.75*1.24 = $ 2.17
D2 = 2.17*1.18 = $ 2.56
D3 = 2.56*1.12 = $ 2.87
D4 = 2.87*1.06 = $ 3.04
Terminal Value (TV) = D4*(1+growth rate)/(Required rate of return - growth rate)
Terminal Value (TV) = 3.04*(1+0.06)/(r - 0.06)
Terminal Value (TV) = 3.22/(r - 0.06)
Now,
Where, r = ??
Share price = $44.96
So,
Now, We will use some trial and errors and we will find that at r = 11.62 %, share price will be $ 44.96.
So, Investor must demand required return of 11.62%.
Alternate method : we can also use interpolation method for finding r. This method will give us approximate value of r (required rate of return)
Difference of share price at r = 11%
Difference of share price at r = 12%
Interpolation method :
r = 11 + [5.63/(5.63+2.88)]
r = 11 + 0.66
r = 11.66
So, as per interpolation method, Investor must demand required return of 11.66% (Approximately).