Question

In: Statistics and Probability

In 2003, 5.9% of people used illegal opioids. This year, a company wishes to use their...

In 2003, 5.9% of people used illegal opioids.

This year, a company wishes to use their employment drug screening to test a claim. They take a simple random sample of 2880 job applicants and find that 136 individuals fail the drug test for illegal opioids. They want to test the claim that the proportion of the population failing the test is lower than 5.9%. Use .10 for the significance level. Round to three decimal places where appropriate.

Hypotheses:

Ho:p=5.9%Ho:p=5.9%

H1:p<5.9%H1:p<5.9%

Test Statistic: z =

Critical Value: z =

p-value:

Conclusion About the Null:

  • Reject the null hypothesis
  • Fail to reject the null hypothesis

Conclusion About the Claim:

  • There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the proportion of the population failing the test is lower than 5.9%
  • There is NOT sufficient evidence to support the claim that the proportion of the population failing the test is lower than 5.9%
  • There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the proportion of the population failing the test is lower than 5.9%
  • There is NOT sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that the proportion of the population failing the test is lower than 5.9%

Do the results of this hypothesis test suggest that fewer people use illegal opioids? Why or why not?

Solutions

Expert Solution

H0: Population proportion P = 0.059

H1: Population proportion P < 0.059

Significance level alpha = 0.10

Sample proportion = 0.0472

Test statistic z:

= -0.0118/0.00439 = -2.6879

Critical value of z = 1.28

For the test statistic value, p-value = .003605

Since .003605 < 0.10, p-value < alpha. Hence we reject the null hypothesis.

There is sufficient evidence to support the claim that the proportion of the population failing the test is lower than 5.9%.

Do the results of this hypothesis test suggest that fewer people use illegal opioids? Why or why not?

This test suggests that few people (< 5.9%) fail the test. So it can be inferred that few people use the illegal opioids. However, it should also be considered that the test itself may not necessarily be accurate, so even if a larger number of people use the opioids, they may still pass the test.


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