In: Statistics and Probability
Plot | Fertilizer A | Fertilizer B | Fertilizer C |
1 | 563 | 588 | 575 |
2 | 593 | 624 | 593 |
3 | 542 | 576 | 564 |
4 | 649 | 672 | 653 |
5 | 565 | 583 | 556 |
6 | 587 | 612 | 590 |
7 | 595 | 617 | 607 |
8 | 429 | 446 | 423 |
9 | 500 | 515 | 483 |
10 | 610 | 641 | 626 |
11 | 524 | 547 | 523 |
12 | 559 | 586 | 568 |
13 | 546 | 582 | 551 |
14 | 503 | 530 | 502 |
15 | 550 | 573 | 567 |
16 | 492 | 518 | 495 |
17 | 497 | 529 | 513 |
18 | 619 | 643 | 626 |
19 | 473 | 497 | 479 |
20 | 533 | 556 | 540 |
Fundamental to improving crop yield is the necessity to quantify effects of such factors as crop varieties, nutrients, and fertilizers on crop yields. Statisticians have been integral to this effort for a century. Ronald Fisher, one of statistics’ most important historical figures, developed his principles of experimental design in the context of agricultural field trials in the 1910s and 20s. Fisher invented statistical models to account for confounding factors affecting crop yields such as soil type or weather. These principles, along with new statistical methods, continue to have an important role in agricultural research. For example, developments in spatial statistical models have contributed to precision agriculture, a farm management strategy that uses global positioning systems to target interventions to the needs of a crop at a specific location in a field. One of the first uses of some techniques in statistics goes back to 1920s for the purpose of testing the effectiveness of fertilizers on plots of lands. The objective of this exercise was to see if different amounts of fertilizers are yielding different amounts of crops. Recently, a scientist at one of the top agricultural colleges in the U.S. decided to conduct this experiment on some new fertilizers and was interested to see the impact of them on crop yields. Accordingly, she selected three types of fertilizers A, B, and C and applied fertilizer A to 20 1- acre plots of land, fertilizer B to another 20 plots, and fertilizer C to yet another plots of land. At the end of growing season, the crop yields were recorded and is summarized in the data file.
f)Calculate a 90% confidence interval estimate of applying fertilizer B data for crop yield in all plots of lands and interpret your results.
g) Assuming population mean of crop yield is 570 bushels for all fertilizers with standard deviation of 40 bushels for all. Formulate a test hypothesis that crop yield by applying fertilizer C differs from the population crop yield for all fertilizers. Conduct the hypothesis test, conclude your analysis and explain your answer. Use both critical value and p-value approach with alpha=0.05
h) Calculate a 90% confidence interval estimate of the difference between the population mean yield of fertilizers B and A. Can we conclude at 0.05 level of significance, that the crop yield using fertilizer B is greater than the crop yield using fertilizer A? (hint: you can use the template in chapter 10 to calculate degrees of freedom and the standard error)
i) If we assume that observations are now plots of lands, can the scientist infer that there are differences between the three types of fertilizers?
f)Calculate a 90% confidence interval estimate of applying fertilizer B data for crop yield in all plots of lands and interpret your results.
The 90% confidence interval estimate of applying fertilizer B data for crop yield in all plots of lands is between 550.208 and 593.292.
We are 90% confident that the true estimate of applying fertilizer B data for crop yield in all plots of lands is between 550.208 and 593.292.
550.208 | confidence interval 90.% lower |
593.292 | confidence interval 90.% upper |
21.542 | margin of error |
g) Assuming population mean of crop yield is 570 bushels for all fertilizers with standard deviation of 40 bushels for all. Formulate a test hypothesis that crop yield by applying fertilizer C differs from the population crop yield for all fertilizers. Conduct the hypothesis test, conclude your analysis and explain your answer. Use both critical value and p-value approach with alpha=0.05
The hypothesis being tested is:
H0: µ = 570
Ha: µ ≠ 570
570.000 | hypothesized value |
551.700 | mean Fertilizer C |
40.000 | std. dev. |
8.944 | std. error |
20 | n |
-2.05 | z |
.0408 | p-value (two-tailed) |
The p-value is 0.0408.
Since the p-value (0.0408) is less than the significance level (0.05), we can reject the null hypothesis.
Therefore, we can conclude that µ ≠ 570.
h) Calculate a 90% confidence interval estimate of the difference between the population mean yield of fertilizers B and A. Can we conclude at 0.05 level of significance, that the crop yield using fertilizer B is greater than the crop yield using fertilizer A? (hint: you can use the template in chapter 10 to calculate degrees of freedom and the standard error)
-54.643 | confidence interval 90.% lower |
4.043 | confidence interval 90.% upper |
29.343 | margin of error |
The 90% confidence interval estimate of the difference between the population mean yield of fertilizers B and A is between -54.643 and 4.043.
We cannot conclude that the crop yield using fertilizer B is greater than the crop yield using fertilizer A.
i) If we assume that observations are now plots of lands, can the scientist infer that there are differences between the three types of fertilizers?
Mean | n | Std. Dev | |||
546.5 | 20 | 54.35 | Fertilizer A | ||
571.8 | 20 | 55.72 | Fertilizer B | ||
551.7 | 20 | 57.79 | Fertilizer C | ||
556.6 | 60 | 56.10 | Total | ||
ANOVA table | |||||
Source | SS | df | MS | F | p-value |
Treatment | 7,131.03 | 2 | 3,565.517 | 1.14 | .3276 |
Error | 1,78,562.90 | 57 | 3,132.682 | ||
Total | 1,85,693.93 | 59 |
No, there are no differences between the three types of fertilizers.
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