Question

In: Finance

Suppose that you are 22 today and that your salary for the year ending today is...

Suppose that you are 22 today and that your salary for the year ending today is $61,250. Suppose that you are paid on an annual basis at the end of each year; so you are receiving $61,250 today. You plan to retire at age 68and will need 75% of your last year’s salary for your annual living expenses starting at age 69. You have saved $50,000 to date. All living expenses between now and retirement will be covered by your annual salary in each year. All living expenses after retirement will be covered by your retirement income. Assume that your first withdrawal from your retirement account for post-retirement income occurs on your 69thbirthdayand that you next deposit into your retirement account will be one year from now. You have some older relatives that have always had an interest in you and have indicated that you are in their wills. Assume that you will inherit $100,000 when you turn 36. Assume also that, given the state of health care costs and a family history of healthcare issues, that you will need to have an amount of $1.25 million available by age 57 to cover healthcare costs above and beyond what your health insurance plan is likely to cover. Assume that you will save 10% of your annual income while you work, and that you will not save any additional amount after you retire. You project that your salary will grow at a rate of 5% and that your retirement income needs will grow at 3%to reflect long-term inflation forecasts. The higher growth rate in your salary reflects your expectation that you will receive promotions and that absent promotions your salary will keep pace with inflation. The appropriate interest rate for your working life is 9% and declines to 6% after you retire. How much will you have to leave to your heirs if you live to age 90?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Number of years to retire 46 (68-22)
Salary before retirement (Last Salary) $             577,848 (61250*(1.05^46)
First withdrawal age 69 $             433,386 (0.75*577848)
Salary at end of year 1 $               64,313 (1.05*61250)
Salary at end of year (N+1)=1.05*(Salary at end of year (N)
Present Value(PV) of cash flow=(Cash flow)/((1+i)^N)
i=Interest rate, N=Year of cash flow
ANNUAL CASH FLOW IN SAVINGS ACCOUNT BEFORE RETIREMENT:
Interest Rate=9%=0.09
N A B=0.1*A C D E=B+C+D F=E/(1.09^N)
Age Year Salary Savings Inheritance Healthcare cost Net Savings PV of Savings
23 1 $               64,313 $            6,431 $              6,431 $            5,900
24 2 $               67,528 $            6,753 $              6,753 $            5,684
25 3 $               70,905 $            7,090 $              7,090 $            5,475
26 4 $               74,450 $            7,445 $              7,445 $            5,274
27 5 $               78,172 $            7,817 $              7,817 $            5,081
28 6 $               82,081 $            8,208 $              8,208 $            4,894
29 7 $               86,185 $            8,618 $              8,618 $            4,715
30 8 $               90,494 $            9,049 $              9,049 $            4,542
31 9 $               95,019 $            9,502 $              9,502 $            4,375
32 10 $               99,770 $            9,977 $              9,977 $            4,214
33 11 $             104,758 $         10,476 $            10,476 $            4,060
34 12 $             109,996 $         11,000 $            11,000 $            3,911
35 13 $             115,496 $         11,550 $            11,550 $            3,767
36 14 $             121,271 $         12,127 $100,000 $          112,127 $          33,554
37 15 $             127,334 $         12,733 $            12,733 $            3,496
38 16 $             133,701 $         13,370 $            13,370 $            3,368
39 17 $             140,386 $         14,039 $            14,039 $            3,244
40 18 $             147,405 $         14,741 $            14,741 $            3,125
41 19 $             154,776 $         15,478 $            15,478 $            3,010
42 20 $             162,514 $         16,251 $            16,251 $            2,900
43 21 $             170,640 $         17,064 $            17,064 $            2,793
44 22 $             179,172 $         17,917 $            17,917 $            2,691
45 23 $             188,131 $         18,813 $            18,813 $            2,592
46 24 $             197,537 $         19,754 $            19,754 $            2,497
47 25 $             207,414 $         20,741 $            20,741 $            2,405
48 26 $             217,785 $         21,778 $            21,778 $            2,317
49 27 $             228,674 $         22,867 $            22,867 $            2,232
50 28 $             240,108 $         24,011 $            24,011 $            2,150
51 29 $             252,113 $         25,211 $            25,211 $            2,071
52 30 $             264,719 $         26,472 $            26,472 $            1,995
53 31 $             277,955 $         27,795 $            27,795 $            1,922
54 32 $             291,853 $         29,185 $            29,185 $            1,851
55 33 $             306,445 $         30,645 $            30,645 $            1,784
56 34 $             321,768 $         32,177 $            32,177 $            1,718
57 35 $             337,856 $         33,786 ($1,250,000) $    (1,216,214) $       (59,578)
58 36 $             354,749 $         35,475 $            35,475 $            1,594
59 37 $             372,486 $         37,249 $            37,249 $            1,536
60 38 $             391,110 $         39,111 $            39,111 $            1,479
61 39 $             410,666 $         41,067 $            41,067 $            1,425
62 40 $             431,199 $         43,120 $            43,120 $            1,373
63 41 $             452,759 $         45,276 $            45,276 $            1,322
64 42 $             475,397 $         47,540 $            47,540 $            1,274
65 43 $             499,167 $         49,917 $            49,917 $            1,227
66 44 $             524,125 $         52,413 $            52,413 $            1,182
67 45 $             550,332 $         55,033 $            55,033 $            1,139
68 46 $             577,848 $         57,785 $            57,785 $            1,097
SUM $       100,678
Present Value of net savings till retirement $             100,678
Future Value of net savings at Retirement $         5,303,380 (100678*(1.09^46)
CASH FLOWS AFTER RETIREMENT
Inflation rate=3%
Withdrawal in year 2(Age70)=1.03*433386= $       446,387.82
Withdrawal in year (N+1)=1.03*(Withdrawal in year (N+1)
Interest rate=6%=0.06
N A B=A/(1.06^N)
Age YEAR Withdrawal PV of Withdrawal
69 1 $             433,386 $       408,855
70 2 $             446,388 $       397,284
71 3 $             459,779 $       386,040
72 4 $             473,573 $       375,114
73 5 $             487,780 $       364,498
74 6 $             502,413 $       354,182
75 7 $             517,486 $       344,158
76 8 $             533,010 $       334,417
77 9 $             549,001 $       324,953
78 10 $             565,471 $       315,756
79 11 $             582,435 $       306,819
80 12 $             599,908 $       298,136
81 13 $             617,905 $       289,698
82 14 $             636,442 $       281,499
83 15 $             655,536 $       273,532
84 16 $             675,202 $       265,791
85 17 $             695,458 $       258,268
86 18 $             716,321 $       250,959
87 19 $             737,811 $       243,856
88 20 $             759,945 $       236,955
89 21 $             782,744 $       230,248
90 22 $             806,226 $       223,732
SUM $   6,764,748
Present value at Retirement needed for living expenses $         6,764,748
Amount available at retirement $         5,303,380
Shortfall $         1,461,368
PV of Amount of inheritance $       (1,461,368)
Amount left at age 90 $       (5,266,093) (-1461368*(1.06^22)

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