In: Finance
This year, Midland Light and Gas (ML&G) paid its stockholders an annual dividend of
$2.50
a share. A major brokerage firm recently put out a report on ML&G predicting that the company's annual dividends should grow at the rate of
5%
per year for each of the next seven years and then level off and grow at the rate of
3%
a year thereafter.
(Note:
Use four decimal places for all numbers in your intermediate calculations.)a. Use the variable-growth DVM and a required rate of return of
8.60%
to find the maximum price you should be willing to pay for this stock.b. Redo the ML&G problem in part a, this time assuming that after year 7, dividends stop growing altogether (for year 8 and beyond,
g=0).
Use all the other information given to find the stock's intrinsic value.
c. Contrast your two answers and comment on your findings. How important is growth to this valuation model?
a. Using the variable-growth DVM and a required rate of return of
8.60%,
the maximum price you should be willing to pay for the stock is
$nothing.
(Round to the nearest cent.)
Under DVM, price of the stock is the present value future dividends
In the given case, there are 2 stages of growth: first for 7 years at the rate of 5% (growing annuity) and infinitely at 3% thereafter (growing perpetuity).
Also given, last dividend= $2.50
Part (a):
Given, required rate of return (r ) = 8.6%
Present value of first stage dividend= (P/(r-g1))*(1-((1+g1)/(1+r))^n)
Where
P= First year dividend= $2.5*(1+5%)= $2.625,
n= Number of payments (7),
r= Rate of interest per period in decimals (0.086) and g1= Growth rate per period in decimals (0.05)
Plugging the values,
PV= (2.625/(0.086-0.05))*(1-((1+0.05)/(1+0.086))^7)=15.3271911
PV of second stage= (D8/(r-g2))/(1+r)^7
Where g2= growth rate after 7 years (given as 3%)
Where D8= Dividend for year 8 = 2.50*(1+5%)^7*(1+3%) = $3.62328
PV= ($3.62328/(0.086-0.03))/(1+0.086)^7 = $36.3166
Current price of the stock= 15.3272 + 36.3166 = $51.64
Part (b):
With g=0 for year 8 and beyond, Dividend after 7 years is a perpetuity. PV at year 7= D8/r
PV of dividends after 7 years, now= (3.62328/0.086)/(1+0.086)^7 = $22.9593
Current price= 15.3271911 + 22.9593 = $38.29
This shows that growth, after year 7 has contributed $13.35 (about 35%) of the current value of the stock.