In: Finance
Due
to a recession, expected inflation this year is only 2%. However,
the inflation rate in...
Due
to a recession, expected inflation this year is only 2%. However,
the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expected to be
constant at some level above 2%. Assume that the expectations
theory holds and the real risk-free rate (r*) is 2.5%. If the yield
on a 3-year Treasury bonds equals the 1-year yield plus 2.5%, what
inflation rate is expected after Year 1?