Question

In: Operations Management

Suppose that the mean retail price per gallon of regular grade gasoline in the United States...

Suppose that the mean retail price per gallon of regular grade gasoline in the United States is $3.45 with a standard deviation of $0.20 and that the retail price per gallon has a bell-shaped distribution. (a) What percentage of regular grade gasoline sold between $3.25 and $3.65 per gallon? % (b) What percentage of regular grade gasoline sold between $3.25 and $3.85 per gallon? % (c) What percentage of regular grade gasoline sold for more than $3.85 per gallon? %

Solutions

Expert Solution

The retail price has a bell-shaped distribution which corresponds to a standard normal distribution and hence we will be using a standard normal probability table.

Given

Mean = $ 3.45

Standard deviation = $ 0.20

a) 68 .26 %

Below is the working

We need to find the z score for $ 3.25 & $ 3.65 and based on that we need to find probabilities

so z score = ( x - ) /

so at x = $ 3.25

z score = ( 3.25 - 3.45 ) / 0.20

z score = - 1

Now at x = 3.65

z score = (3.65 - 3.45) / 0.2

z score = 1

from question we need to find

P( -1 < z < 1) = P( z < 1) - P (z < -1)

From standard normal distribution table

P( z < 1) = 0.84134

P (z < -1) = 0.15866

substituting above we get

P ( -1 < z < 1) = 0.84134 - 0.15866

P ( -1 < z < 1) = 0.682688 = 68.26 %

so 68.26 % of regular gasoline sold b/w $ 3.25 & $ 3.65

b) 81.85 %

Below is the working

We need to find the z score for $ 3.25 & $ 3.85 and based on that we need to find probabilities

so z score = ( x - ) /

so at x = $ 3.25

z score = ( 3.25 - 3.45 ) / 0.20

z score = - 1

Now at x = 3.85

z score = (3.85 - 3.45) / 0.2

z score = 2

from question we need to find

P( -1 < z < 2) = P( z < 2) - P (z < -1)

From standard normal distribution table

P( z < 2) = 0.97725

P (z < -1) = 0.15866

substituting above we get

P ( -1 < z < 1) = 0.97725 - 0.15866

P ( -1 < z < 1) = 0.81859 = 81.85 %

so 81.85 % of regular gasoline sold b/w $ 3.25 & $ 3.85

c) 2.27 %

We need to find the z score for $ 3.85 and based on that we need to find probabilities

so z score = ( x - ) /

Now at x = 3.85

z score = (3.85 - 3.45) / 0.2

z score = 2

from question we need to find -

P( z > 2) = 1 - P (z < 2) ----- (Note Probability of a sure activity is 1)

From standard normal distribution table

P( z < 2) = 0.97725

substituting above we get

P (z > 2) = 1 - 0.97725

P ( z > 2 ) = 0.02275 = 2.27 %

so 2.27 % of regular gasoline sold for more than $ 3.85

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